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In my experience, when I talk to religious folks and tell them I am agnostic, they are interested to talk to me about religious issues, maybe even try to persuade me to join their religion (good luck!).
But when I label myself as an agnostic to atheists, they get very annoyed. They think either I lack the reasoning skills to see that there is no god, or they think I have some sort of testosterone defficiency that causes me to be too afraid to proclaim my true atheism to the world. Their favorite saying is that "an agnostic is just a gutless atheist" (I believe this comes from Bierce's The Devil's Dictionary). I was just browsing an atheism tribe and these attitudes run rampant.
What's with this pig-headed animostiy between fellow non-believers. As far as I can tell, we're all on the same side as far as opposing the fundamentalist religious fanatics who would restrict OUR liberty in the interest of THEIR god.
Your thoughts?
But when I label myself as an agnostic to atheists, they get very annoyed. They think either I lack the reasoning skills to see that there is no god, or they think I have some sort of testosterone defficiency that causes me to be too afraid to proclaim my true atheism to the world. Their favorite saying is that "an agnostic is just a gutless atheist" (I believe this comes from Bierce's The Devil's Dictionary). I was just browsing an atheism tribe and these attitudes run rampant.
What's with this pig-headed animostiy between fellow non-believers. As far as I can tell, we're all on the same side as far as opposing the fundamentalist religious fanatics who would restrict OUR liberty in the interest of THEIR god.
Your thoughts?
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, October 18, 2005 - 12:48 PMI imagine most atheists go through an agnostic period. At least this was true in my case. One day you wake up and say to yourself; why am I holding this middle position between believing in God and not believing when it seems there are no more reasons to believe in God than to believe in the blue fairy or the giant, yellow fish at the center of the galaxy? I don't hold the middle postion about the blue fairy or the yellow fish, so why hold it about the big father guy in the sky?
I don't think agnosticsim pisses off atheists; they just wish agnostics would treat the concept of God exactly the same as the concept of blue faires, unicorns, giant, invisible, yellow fish, and dragons and not try to pretend there is some difference when there isn't. Basically, I see agnostiscism as a way of lying to yourself about what you really believe and holding onto something, the concept of God, for mostly emotional reasons. It is not unlike breaking up with a lover. You go through a period of trying to believe in the love, despite the evidence it is lacking, before you finally learn to accept that there is nothing there. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, October 18, 2005 - 1:15 PMYa, what Rene said.
Also I feel some agnostics are consiously or subconsiously afraid to call a spade a spade when it comes to religion and god. This is caused the massive influence of Judeo-Christian ideas on culture.
IMO, the path most atheists take to their philosophical viewpoint is the combination of two obvervations about our world.
The invisible dragon in garage problem:
www.newspeakdictionary.com/st-drag.html
and Occum's Razor:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occum%27s_razor
The agnostic takes the same path but lands at a different opinion at the end. They question the validity of Occum's Razor in this case. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, October 18, 2005 - 8:28 PMFUCK! I just wrote a goddam essay replying to your posts and it got eaten by tribe when my login expired. I'll try to remember some of it and re-write it later... -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, October 18, 2005 - 8:58 PMYuck. I hate it when that happens. I usually compose my replies in outlook to avoid this (and for spell check.) :P
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, October 18, 2005 - 9:22 PM>>"I just wrote a goddam essay replying to your posts and it got eaten by tribe when my login expired."
Bum city. I have had the same thing happen. Yeah, it is a lot safer to work in Word and then cut and paste.
So, to encourage you- we are interested in what you have to say. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, October 19, 2005 - 9:47 AMI'll go with Jons comments & everyone else too really.
I went throught this too. I like the quote -
"An Atheist is an Agnostic that thought about it a little more"
some folks really are afraid to come out of that closet. Especially if they were formerly xian/religious. It takes time & the experience varies for everyone.
I suppose it is possible to be both for a while if one considers Agnostic to be non-commital, & Atheist to be "a lack of belief".
I don't see a problem with riding that fence.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Mon, April 17, 2006 - 5:24 PMI frankly find these responses smug and arrogant. I reject religion because I see no reason to believe, and if I'm being intellectually honest and consistent, I reject the denial of the existence of any god for precisely the same reason. Maybe there is some supernatural being out there, or some extratertrestiral with huge fucking powers, or whatever. I don't know, and I don't know if there's not either. So I'm agnostic, which in my mind is the only position justifiable by the available evidence. And yes I have thought about it a long time, and yes I have no problem with testosterone. In fact, I went from attheist to agnostic at one point, since I at one point thought that there was good reason to believe that the god of western theism didn't exist, but then the arguments I was relying on turned out to be not so strong after thinking about it for a while. Of course the arguments for God are at least as bad. So here I am in my agnostic position. If you think I'm not rational for denying the existence of a god or gods, then prove that no god exists. Until then, no evidence one way or another means that I have no reason to believe one way or another. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, April 18, 2006 - 11:17 PMI'm with you on that one. They do follow similar paths, which is in general denying religion. BUT, it's to each either own and some of us who are Agnostics have realized that there's just something out there that can not be denied with no explination on who or what it is. Instead of labeling it some sort of God, we just accept it's there. Athesim (sp) is just the full out denial of anything religious/spiritual based -- belief of nothing (how I define an atheist). These people also seem to be completely skeptical, which counteracts other beliefs that I have. I hate to break it to these people, but there is something out there unexplainable as of yet. Yes, it may be something we might be able to explain in the future, but there will always be something unexplainable. This belief in the unexplainable does not deem religion, but it prevents the leap to being Atheist, hence Agnostics... You can call it a cultural difference, possibly even a form of racism that causes an Atheist to condem us Agnostics... Judge me how you must, but don't dwell on it. Get over yourself and your lack of belief and go about your business and life. It's just another version of theology and politics, which I do not want any part of. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, April 18, 2006 - 11:57 PM
Bubba,
Athiesm isn't quite what you describe -- it's basically the perspective that, until there is evidence that is independently verifiable and testable via the scientific method, that belief in god is unfounded. Note, I didn't say "wrong", just not based on fact. Athiesm isn't about putting one's head in the sand, it's about using the scientific method -- the method which is to a very large degree responsible for everything humanity has come to know and understand about the world we live in -- and applying it to god.
Please, don't be put off by my description -- our world is fast-changing and dynamic, and what we learn tomorrow may (and often does) redefine what we thought we knew today, and sometimes the hunches of today are the facts of tomorrow. Athiests are skeptics, yes ... but we're all skeptics -- it's part of the process by which we gain knowledge, and skepticism isn't the domain of the athiest alone.
Regards,
John
Falling You - exploring the beauty of voice and sound
www.fallingyou.com -
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This is the maximum depth. Additional responses will not be threaded.Unsu...
Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, April 19, 2006 - 12:44 AMDon't worry, I am not offended. Like everyone, I have a slightly different perspective. Mine is also mixed with a little spirituality, but I guess I have my own (excuse the term) branch. My beliefs are so mixed that I can not narrow it to one belief, but agnostic is the closest to explain it. I was just ranting and raving about my personal experiences with Athiests...
You tell the truth about the skepticism, but I was just trying to pound on the point that Athiests tend to be so skeptical that it dumbfounds me so often.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, October 19, 2005 - 12:04 PMPlease, forgive my pain-in-the-ass-ness, but you quoted the principle I've based my life upon, so I feel like I can claim my right to be ridiculously meticulous ;)
OccAm's razor -- named after William of Ockham
(ok, now I'm going to kill the editors of this wiki-entry!)
As for the question, my personal experience with atheists is quite good, and none of them has ever tried to... ahem, proselytize me (nor I feel "halfway" between believing and not believing!) -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, October 19, 2005 - 1:39 PMI had it misspelled. It's spelled correctly in the Wikipedia entry. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, October 19, 2005 - 8:14 PMI think there is an innate human nature to "know" something. It's the driving force behind both religion, and science. If the religious folk can't know, then they must have "faith" or "believe" in something.
I think the fear of the unknown is scary to most. I think it's really terrifying to the atheist. They must know that there is no deity, despite the fact that we can't really know that (IMO).
I think fear is the motivation behind the atheistic anger towards agnostics.
I'm ok without "knowing". It leaves me open to new information and experiences. Whenever I have some experience that convinces me either way...perhaps I'll change. But at present, I am truly agnostic.
I feel the same way about aliens. There's a pretty good chance they exist...but I don't know yet. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, October 19, 2005 - 8:31 PM"I think the fear of the unknown is scary to most. I think it's really terrifying to the atheist."
I think the fear factor is actually more appropriately applied to most agnostics. It is the fear of making a decision. If you walk into a classroom and all the children in the room are wearing glasses, would you be willing to say; "all these kids seem to be wearing glasses", or would you be afraid to say this because one of them might be hiding under a desk and you might be wrong.
Most atheists are perfectly willing to admit that God might be hiding under the desk, we might have missed something, but at the same time we are willing to say unambiguously- this is where all the evidence points, all the kids are wearing glasses, there is no God. What the atheist feels towards the agnostic is not anger, but simply frustration with someone who does not know how to make up his mind. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 1:07 AM>Most atheists are perfectly willing to admit
>that God might be hiding under the desk
UH? Strange kind of atheists you know. Like Bush believing that a welfare is possible.
>someone who does not know how to make up his mind
Who gave this definition, Rene??!
Because, as far as a know, an agnostic is someone who doesn't believe that it is possible to prove or not the existence of a God.
I don't have to "make up my mind", my mind is totally made up: there's an epistemological impossibility, and to "make up my mind" I should switch the discussion to a metaphysical plan (but I just said that this is not what I'm interested in), and give up my cognitive priorities. Mind you, I'm not saying that atheists are wrong, I'm just saying we play in VERY different fields philosophically speaking.
And since skepticism is my own light in the dark, why should I renounce to it, just because I have to "make up my mind" upon a totally irrelevant subject talking about disciplines I'm not even remotely interested in?
Fear? Gimme a break. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 8:33 AM"an agnostic is someone who doesn't believe that it is possible to prove or not the existence of a God."
By this definition anyone of sound mind, either atheist or theist, is an agnostic. This is because anyone of sound mind recognizes that it is totally, completely impossible to prove the non-existence of anything. We can prove that something exists by observing it. We cannot prove that something does not exist by not observing it.
The are an infinite number of things that do not exist and you cannot prove the non-existence of any of them. Do you believe in this infinite number of things or are you willing to judge some of them to be unlikely? I am quite sure that you do judge some of them to be unlikely, so you are not fully agnostic. Why not make this same judgement where this concept of God is concerned?
The bottom line of the agnostic position is that the true nature of the world cannot be resolved by our minds. That observing or not observing things is unimportant, that a concept is logically consistent is not important. Consequently, in my view agnostics live in a constant fog; unable, or afraid to make any decisions, so sorry, I am not going to give you a break. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 9:41 AM"Consequently, in my view agnostics live in a constant fog; unable, or afraid to make any decisions, so sorry, I am not going to give you a break."
Yay-fun with sweeping generalizations! Surely you're too bright to honestly, literally believe this! You're just fucking with Lola, right? If not, you need to be more wary of doing armchair psychology on groups you disagree with, or learn to somehow dissociate your own bias from your analyses of character. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 12:13 PM"You're just fucking with Lola, right?"
There answer to this question is highly classified, top secret, and ultimately unknowable in any case, but please don't tell my wife.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 10:19 AMRene, I'm assuming with Geoff that you just want to be funny. So yeah, let's rock! :)
>By this definition anyone of sound mind
Sound mind? What's that? The epistemology of commonplaces?
>The are an infinite number of things that do not exist
This has to be the the paradox of non-metaphysics
>I am quite sure that you do judge some
>of them to be unlikely, so you are not fully
>agnostic
And this has to be the first corollary of anti-Aristotelian logic.
Call me when you feel like talking seriously, ok? ;) -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 11:56 AMYou seem to have failed to get my points because perhaps they were not stated precisely enough or perhaps you just did not want to address them, so I will restate them:
We can imagine an infinite number of things that most likely do not exist. I am sure that you do judge some of them to be non-existent, so you are not fully agnostic towards all things that we can imagine that cannot be proven to be non-existent. Why, then are you agnostic towards the concept of God which has exactly the same possibility of existing as all the other infinite number of things we might imagine to exist that leave no trace in the world in which we exist, none of which can be proven to be non-existent. I think I said it better before, but surely this will make you happy.
As far “doing armchair psychology on groups you disagree with”, I got off on this tack because someone suggested that atheism was rooted in “fear of the unknown” which is down right silly, leading me to play that silly game of turn the tables. No doubt, all your ideas are deeply rooted in a pure and intense intellectual quest to ferret out truth from the disparate elements of our existence which seem to block us at every turn and have nothing to do with emotions or personal psychology.
But actually, I don’t feel that agnostics are a group I disagree with, I see them as me for most of my life when I would have said I was an agnostic. I looked it up in the rule book and it specifically states that one is allowed to do armchair psychology about yourself, so I hereby claim no foul was given and you cannot shoot any free throws, but as a concession, you can keep the ball and throw it in from out of bounds. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 2:32 PMGood to see that you have a sense of humor, Rene. I hate arguing with people who don't, and sometimes it's a little hard to tell how someone means something over the internet. And yes, my jab about doing armchair psychology about groups you disagree with applies at least as much to Anton's comment, though to some extent I was fishing for this in my initial post.
As for the more substantive philosophical stuff, that will take a longer post, so I'll write something later when I'm not at work.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Mon, April 17, 2006 - 5:28 PM"This is because anyone of sound mind recognizes that it is totally, completely impossible to prove the non-existence of anything."
This is often said but not true Rene. You can deductively prove the nonexistence of something by demonstrating that's its definition is self-contradictory, which is the atheological approach of the problem of evil (i.e. the supposed contradiction of an all good, all powerful being allowing evil). I can prove that square circles don't exist. And in limited cases you can prove that something doesn't exist for all practical purposes. If my son says that there is an elephant in the garage, I can go in there and prove to myself that there is no elephant. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, April 18, 2006 - 7:21 AM>>"If my son says that there is an elephant in the garage, I can go in there and prove to myself that there is no elephant."<<
You have not proven the elephant does not exist- only that you have not seen it.
You can prove that the idea of a square circle is not logical and cannot represent anything real, since the definition of each excludes the other, but this really has nothing to do with the argument about a God or gods. These are imagined entities that by definition are not self-contradictory. We can imagine an infinite number of such non self-contradictory entities, and not seeing them only proves that we have not seen them, just like your elephant. It is logical to not believe in this entire class of objects, until and unless some proof or perhaps even some sign of their existence appears. This not believing is based on the fact there is an infinitely small chance any such imagined object is real; there being an infinite number of possible objects of this kind.
>>"And in limited cases you can prove that something doesn't exist for all practical purposes"<< In my estimation God would be one of those limited cases since there are no observed effects, the idea does not fit well with everything that can be deduced about the nature of man and the universe that surrounds us. That really quite simply that if there were a God, nothing about life really would make any sense.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, April 18, 2006 - 6:23 PM"You have not proven the elephant does not exist- only that you have not seen it."
Yes I've proven it, though "proof" doesn't need to rise to the level of absolute certainty. You can prove something to be probably true. If there was an elephant in the room, I would probably see it if I looked in the room. It then follows that if I look in the room and see no elephant, then there's probably no elephant in the room. Invisible elephants are improbable.
"You can prove that the idea of a square circle is not logical and cannot represent anything real, since the definition of each excludes the other, but this really has nothing to do with the argument about a God or gods. These are imagined entities that by definition are not self-contradictory"
Right, and one argument against the existence of God as defined by western theism is that the concept is an imagined entity that by definition is self-contradictory. if that argument is sound, and you've proven that the western definition of God is self-contradictory, then you've proven that western theism's God does not exist, since entities the description of which are self-contradictory cannot exist.
"We can imagine an infinite number of such non self-contradictory entities, and not seeing them only proves that we have not seen them, just like your elephant. It is logical to not believe in this entire class of objects"
That doesn't follow. I haven't seen most objects in the universe and don't presently (and probably never will) have the capacity to see them all, but it doesn't follow that the ones I don't and/or can't see probably don't exist.
"In my estimation God would be one of those limited cases since there are no observed effects"
Could you explain what you mean by this, since the concept of the western God is that the universe is the observed effect.
"the idea does not fit well with everything that can be deduced about the nature of man and the universe that surrounds us."
I don't see why. Has there been a new argument that I haven't heard yet?
"That really quite simply that if there were a God, nothing about life really would make any sense."
I don't follow that logic. Why? -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, April 18, 2006 - 9:26 PM>>"I made up my mind. I just made up my mind as to what conclusion is justified by the evidence."<<
>>"Yes I've proven it, though "proof" doesn't need to rise to the level of absolute certainty. You can prove something to be probably true. If there was an elephant in the room, I would probably see it if I looked in the room. It then follows that if I look in the room and see no elephant, then there's probably no elephant in the room. Invisible elephants are improbable. "<<
It seems that you could substitute God for elephant here and reach the same conclusion about God. The only reason you fail to do this is because you have been culturally conditioned to accept the notion that some kind of invisible, supernatural being exists.
You keep saying that your agnostic conclusion is "justified by the evidence", but there is no evidence to suggest the the idea of God is a viable idea. You believe, with no evidence that the idea of God is a viable idea. The atheist follows the evidence or lack thereof and concludes this is not a viable idea. The atheist has no belief in God because there is no evidence. The theist believes in God despite the lack of evidence. The agnostic believes in the possibility of God despite the lack of evidence. Also, the agnostic claim that we cannot know enough to draw a conclusion about the subject of God, is simply another belief, also without any evidence. Put simply your conclusion is not in any way "justified by the evidence". You are simply fooling yourself, if you believe this.
>>"Could you explain what you mean by this, since the concept of the western God is that the universe is the observed effect."<<
What I mean by observed effects is that for instance, people experienced wind and postulated a wind god caused it. This is logical, maybe even scientific, but the God of modern theists would seem to have no observable effects in our world and therefore there is no reason to even put forth this theory- it explains nothing.
To say the universe is an observed effect is not quite true because non-existence, in my estimation, is not possible. I would say that what exists must have always existed in some form. This is true even if we postulate a God because how could God exist if there was no universe in which to exist? God would thus be the form of the universe before it took it present form, by his will, or by some other process. Something cannot come from nothing. The theists propose our something came from God. It is simpler to assume our something has always existed as it is, or perhaps had some other form and changed via a natural process, rather than to invoke some supernatural cause- there is no need for this. So any way you look at it the universe cannot be considered "an observed effect"- an effect requiring some explanation.
>>A: "but it doesn't follow that the ones I don't and/or can't see probably don't exist."<<
Imagine something right now, something you and no one else has ever seen, heard, smelled, tasted, or felt. What are the odds this something really exists? Would you give it a high probablity or a low one? How many such things could you imagine? I feel certain that you would conclude that any of these things you just imagined which might be infinite in number "probably don't exist" Why is the idea of God any different than any of those somethings that you just imagined? It isn't.
>>R: "the idea does not fit well with everything that can be deduced about the nature of man and the universe that surrounds us." <<
>>A:"I don't see why. Has there been a new argument that I haven't heard yet?"
Since you are agnostic, I assumed you might get this without further detailed explanation, but since you did not, I will explain further. Let us first define God as a wise and benevolent creator, since this appears to be the most common perception of God. Man is supposedly his finest creation. If you simply open your eyes you will see that God's finest creation is riddled with flaws. Why an appendix? Why have teeth that easily rot? Why not a more efficient waste disposal system? Why sickness? and on and on... I could do a better job of designing my "finest creation" on a bad day and I am not all that wise. If life on this planet is taken as evidence of God's benevolence and good will toward man, then there simply is no evidence. Why famine, hurricanes, drought, asteroid impacts, war, and on and on...? No matter how you stack it up, the evil in the world precludes a benevolent God. The design of the world precludes a wise or intelligent God. (ID is really a bad joke.) I will be happy to expand further on this theme, but surely now you understand my point.
>>R: "That really quite simply that if there were a God, nothing about life really would make any sense."<<
>>"A: "I don't follow that logic. Why?"
This clearly needs much more explanation. Here I am talking about "the meaning of life". Many religious people say that life would be meaningless without a God. I say the opposite is true. If there were a God controlling our lives then our lives would have no meaning because we would be no different than wooden puppets being pulled around in a silly play by a silly God. The puppet's life has no meaning. It is not really alive. Being alive means being free to create your own destiny. If you destiny is already determined what could possibly be the point in carrying it out? The meaning of life is what we choose to make it by our own free actions and creative thoughts- nothing else is really meaningful.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, April 19, 2006 - 12:40 AMToday I consider myself an agnostic so I can't very well dogmatically insist on anything I say as absolute truth, but lets step out of the rationalistic true/false logic box for a moment. If we jump up a level of abstraction to the next epistemological plateau we can consider ideas of God as language games--ways of fitting words to our experience and manipulating them according to heuristic rules.
The authors of the Hebrew Bible spoke of God in the archetype of a jealous, vengeful creator, and father figure (monotheism)
The authors of the gospels spoke of God in the archetype of a forgiving, loving shepherd (trisected monotheism?)
Hindus and Greeks speak of Gods as supernatural beings with superhuman powers whose favor can be won by doing and saying the right things (polytheism)
Jefferson thought God created the world and then buggered off (deism)
Spinoza spoke of God as the totality of the universe (pantheism)
Einstein had a similar but even more esoteric view which people still argue over, but if I remember right he spoke rather metaphorically of God as the source of the laws of nature.
No being currently imaginable by me could possibly fit all these descriptions, as several of them attribute conflicting properties to god(s). But what do they have in common aside from using the word "god(s)?" It seems they all appeal to a sort of "ultimate explanation" behind the phenomena of experience. I can't tell anyone what God "is," but throughout the ages people have invoked the metaphor of God for nearly anything they don't understand or cannot predict: the existence of stuff, the weather, the tides, sickness and health, national prosperity, personal fortunes, morality, mystical experiences, and so forth. Looking at the human nervous system cognitively, historically, and cross-culturally, it seems to have a tendency to personify that which it does not understand, and it typically prefers a woefully inadequte explanation to no explanation at all. These tendencies play out in language games, and since everybody sees the conceptual landscape a little differently and defines terms differently, everybody feels like only they understand the issue correctly. Thus we get a communication jam.
I encourage anyone who thinks they know the answer to the God riddle (even those agnostics who have convinced themselves that no one can know the answer) to try a little cognitive experiment and consider ideas of God as sophisticated language games. See if you can entertain this meta-model for an hour, or a day before going back to the ordinary true/false logic game.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, April 19, 2006 - 12:00 PM"It seems that you could substitute God for elephant here and reach the same conclusion about God."
Incorrect. I know the nature of an elephant (carbon based living organism of a specific species) and have seen a lot of them and based on this prior experience, invisible elephants are highly improbable, if not physically impossible (and elephants are physical entities). In contrast, the western idea of God is the idea of some being that created the physical universe and hence would be prior to the physical universe. I have zero experience with such proposed entities and hence have no prior database upon which to make probabilistic judgments about the nature of such an entity if one were to exist. Since this proposed entity by hypothesis created the physical universe, I have no basis for assuming that its nature would be bound by the constraints of nature normally applied to physical entities such as elephants. In short, I have no evidentiary basis to assume that if there was a god, I would be able to see it/him/her. That's not the case with elephants.
"The only reason you fail to do this is because you have been culturally conditioned to accept the notion that some kind of invisible, supernatural being exists."
Incorrect. I've just explained the difference above. And since I don't accept (but don't reject) the existence of such a supernatural entity, then it's also incorrect that culture has conditioned me to accept its existence.
"You keep saying that your agnostic conclusion is "justified by the evidence", but there is no evidence to suggest the the idea of God is a viable idea."
"You believe, with no evidence that the idea of God is a viable idea."
Well, I don't accept the existence of God because I don't see sufficient evidence nor reason for accepting such, and I don't accept the nonexistence of God because I don't see sufficient reason nor evidence for believing such. The burden of proof is on you guys (speaking of atheists who deny the existence of gods and theists who assert it) to provide the evidence to justify my belief one way or another. I don't need to provide evidence for holding an agnostic position, since my agnostic position says that there is insufficient evidence or reason for me to believe one way or another. Now I don't know what you mean by a "viable idea". If by that you mean a coherent idea, I don't see any reason to believe that the idea of a god is necessarily incoherent, and so if you believe that it is, the burden is on you to prove it.
"The atheist follows the evidence or lack thereof and concludes this is not a viable idea."
That doesn't logically follow. There is also a lack of evidence for the existence of intelligent extraterrestrial beings somewhere out there in the universe, but it doesn't follow that the lack of evidence for their existence makes the idea "unviable".
"The atheist has no belief in God because there is no evidence."
Same with an agnostic like me. Yes, the lack of evidence justifies the position of having no belief in the existence of God. But the lack of evidence does not justify the position of having a belief that no God exists. If you assert and want someone to believe that no God exists, then you assume a burden to provide the evidence and prove the truth of such a belief, otherwise I have no reason to accept it.
"The agnostic believes in the possibility of God despite the lack of evidence."
Yes, it's possible so long as it isn't self-contradictory, and as far as I can see it's not. It does not follow that if there is a lack of evidence for some entity, then it is impossible for that entity to exist. If that were the case, then the lack of evidence 100 years ago for the existence of protons justified the conclusion that it was not possible for such entities to exist, which would of course have been incorrect. And once again the lack of evidence for extraterrestrial intelligent life elsewhere in the universe does not logically entail that the existence of such beings is impossible. Lack of evidence for the existence of some entity, or for that matter the truth of some proposition, does not logically entail that the entity does not exist or that the proposition is false. If it did, then for any possible entity about which we have no evidence for or against its existence (e.g. intelligent extraterrestrial beings), it would be justifiable to conclude that such beings both don't exist (because of lack of evidence for their existence) and do exist (because of lack of evidence for their nonexistence). But any argument that produces self-contradictory conclusions based on consistent premises is an irrational argument.
"Also, the agnostic claim that we cannot know enough to draw a conclusion about the subject of God, is simply another belief, also without any evidence."
No it's not. It's a lack of belief. I have no belief one way or another about God's existence since I see no sufficient evidence to believe one way or another. I don't need evidence for a non-belief. I was born an agnostic (not having a belief one way or another) so that's my default position until someone gives me sufficient reason to believe one way or another. I don't conclude that "we" don't have sufficient evidence for the existence of God. I'm more modest than that. Maybe someone out there personally has access to proof of God's existence or nonexistence, but I haven't met that person yet. Until I do, and no one has provided sufficient evidence one way or another, then I will reside in my default position of not having a belief one way or another as to whether a god or gods exists. I just don't know. Agnosticism.
"the God of modern theists would seem to have no observable effects in our world and therefore there is no reason to even put forth this theory- it explains nothing."
I still don't understand. Again, the God of modern theists is put forward to explain the existence of the physical universe, and perhaps other things. That they don't have sufficient evidence to prove that their explanation is superior to a naturalistic one just shows that they haven't proven that their God exists, but there is a set of phenomena that their God hypothesis is there to explain, such as the existence of the physical universe, as well as human beings, etc.
"To say the universe is an observed effect is not quite true because non-existence, in my estimation, is not possible. "
I don't see why, and I particularly don't see why it was impossible for the universe in its present form to not exist, with intelligent life forms such as us, etc.
"This is true even if we postulate a God because how could God exist if there was no universe in which to exist?"
Well, that depends on what you mean by "universe" and "God". Often people mean "universe" to refer to the physical universe of matter and energy that physicists study. If there was a being that created this universe of matter and energy then it would be hard to imagine that that being was a part of that universe of matter and energy, otherwise it would be creating itself, which at least seems incoherent at first blush. But I don't see anything incoherent about the idea that there was a sentient entity, or for that matter nonsentient force, external or prior to our universe of matter and energy that caused our universe of matter and energy to exist.
Now if by "universe" one means everything that exists, then by that definition God, if such a being existed, would be a part of the universe, and in THAT case it wouldn't make much sense to say that there is a God that created the universe. But I think when people mean that there is a God who created the universe, they mean "universe" in the previous sense above. Now there might be a temptation to try to disprove the existence of God by assuming that the universe is everything that exists PLUS the universe is just the totality of matter and energy and so-called "natural" processes studied by science. But that would beg the question since it would just be assuming that supernatural entities didn't exist.
"Something cannot come from nothing."
Don't know if that's a logically necessary principle. I don't see why spontaneous generation is logically impossible, and there is some work in physics that does suggest that at least some particles just come into existence from nothing, and perhaps even the universe did as well, but really neither has been proven yet.
"The theists propose our something came from God. It is simpler to assume our something has always existed as it is, or perhaps had some other form and changed via a natural process, rather than to invoke some supernatural cause- there is no need for this"
I'm not sure if that would be simpler or not, since for me to know which was simpler I would have to have some degree of precise knowledge about the mechanics of our present physical universe coming into existence via some natural processes vs. via some God, otherwise I have no idea as to which mechanism is simpler. One or the other could be much more complex than the other.
Second, since you seem to be alluding to Occam's Razor here, I don't know if it's legitimate to apply Occam's Razor to explanations of the universe as a whole. Yeah, it seems to be a useful principle in addressing proposed explanations of phenomena WITHIN the universe, but I don't know if it's legitimate to apply the principle to the universe as a whole. What is true of the part (e.g. of the universe) is not necessarily true of the whole (of the universe). This analysis is just as applicable to the classic theistic argument that since everything in the universe has a cause, then the universe itself has a cause. That's a similar fallacy. The Principle of Sufficient Causation (everything needs a cause) and Occam's Razor may be generally useful principles to apply to phenomena within the universe, but I don't see why it's necessary to apply it to the universe as a whole. As Hume pointed out as an analogy, that every individual human has one mother doesn't justify the conclusion that humankind as a whole has one mother.
"So any way you look at it the universe cannot be considered "an observed effect"- an effect requiring some explanation."
Well, I'm assuming the dominant view of physics to be true that there was something like a "Big Bang" that began our physical universe. I'm also assuming that there was no necessary reason to believe that an earth like our own with intelligent beings like ourselves had to exist. Hence, to these phenomena that didn't seem to be necessary, the theist posits his God as creator for explanatory purposes.
"Imagine something right now, something you and no one else has ever seen, heard, smelled, tasted, or felt. What are the odds this something really exists?"
You mean like protons, or Velociraptors, or extraterrestrial life forms? And I think it's highly improbable that we would have conveniently evolved to have senses capable of experiencing everything that exists, since our evolved faculties would seem to be only necessary for perceiving things that are useful for our survival, and I don't see any necessary reason to believe that everything that exists is necessary for us to perceive for our survival.
The odds you speak of depend on the context and background information. I have zero background knowledge of the nature of supernatural beings if such things do or ever did exist, and hence I have zero basis by which to assess if such things presently do or do not exist. There might be dimensions with entities I don't know about or am incapable of accessing given my physical nature, but that doesn't mean that such things probably don't exist. In contrast, I know what an elephant is, and know by its nature that if one existed in my garage, I would with high probability be able to see it if I walked into my garage (it's a very small garage).
"I feel certain that you would conclude that any of these things you just imagined which might be infinite in number "probably don't exist""
Incorrect. If it's possible, it's possible. It only becomes improbable (or for that matter probable) when sufficient evidence is discovered by which to assess probability. Without such evidence, it's irrational to conclude that such entities are either probable or improbable. Rene, we have only explored a tiny fragment of the universe, even if we restrict ourselves to the physical universe (i.e. what physicists study). We have no evidence one way or another about most things that exist in our universe of a billion galaxies each of which has hundreds of millions of stars. But it's not a logical inference to conclude that until we have evidence about something that may be out there. it probably doesn't exist.
"I assumed you might get this without further detailed explanation, but since you did not, I will explain further. Let us first define God as a wise and benevolent creator, since this appears to be the most common perception of God. Man is supposedly his finest creation. If you simply open your eyes you will see that God's finest creation is riddled with flaws. Why an appendix? Why have teeth that easily rot? Why not a more efficient waste disposal system? Why sickness? and on and on... I could do a better job of designing my "finest creation" on a bad day"
This is why I asked if there was a new argument out there, because I've heard the above argument and numerous variations of it. First of all, on issues like the appendix, I'm not aware of any major religion that ever claimed that man (at least in his present form) was created as a physically perfect or optimally engineered being, so you appear to be attacking a straw man. And even if there was such a religion, that certainly doesn't foreclose the idea that that specific religion is wrong but that there still is a God who created humans to simply be well adapted enough to survive and reproduce and dominate the world (or do whatever one's theology requires), which doesn't require engineering perfection.
Now as to the larger "Problem of Evil" approach that says that if God is all-good, then why would he create a universe that has suffering/evil. The problem with this argument is that it assumes to know what the moral obligations of such a god would be if one were to exist. As I've said, I have no prior knowledge nor experience with or of such supernatural entities if such entities do or ever did exist (as to their nature nor existence), and I'm certainly in no position to entertain how such beings should morally behave if they did exist.
In short, if there was God who some religion called "all good", would such a being allow suffering/evil, or for that matter teeth that rot or appendices? I don't know, and I have no reason to know one way or another. Maybe such a being would have his reasons for allowing or having such things that are consistent with how that religion views their God's moral obligations to be. The only way that I can see such an argument working is if you could point out in such a religion the precise moral obligations of their God and demonstrate that their God, if it existed, violated such moral obligations, but I've never seen such an attempted argument succeed, at least not vis a vis the big world religions.
In short, I see no reason to believe that if a God existed, he would make a perfectly engineered human being (assuming that the "imperfections" we note are really imperfect in the sense of being contrary to the alleged creator's purposes), or for that matter remove suffering, evil or imperfection from our world.
"No matter how you stack it up, the evil in the world precludes a benevolent God."
Ah, there you go. No it doesn’t. The Problem of Evil. See above. First of all, if a God exists, I don't see any reason why such a being would necessarily be maximally benevolent to all creatures, even the human ones (doesn't the Bible describe God as a vengeful God, which doesn't sound omnibenevolent to me), and I frankly don't see that necessity in the major world conceptions of God (Islam, Judaism or Christianity).
Second, again, I see no evidence as to whether or not a God exists, nor of what such a being's probable nature would be if it/he/she did exist. With that, I CERTAINLY see no evidence by which to judge whether or not that being, if it existed, is being "morally perfect”, consistent with whatever moral obligations such a being would have.
It’s hard enough to prove the moral obligations humans have to one another, much less the moral obligations of a hypothetical god about which we have no experience. We don’t have a basis on which to say, “Well, most gods I know of have such and such moral obligations that would preclude allowing suffering/evil, and hence if a god existed, he would likely disallow the suffering/evil that we know exists in the world”.
So in short, yes I'm familiar with the Problem of Evil/Suffering (aka the Argument from Evil or the Argument from Suffering). It's the most famous atheistic argument against the existence of God. It's unfortunately not a sound argument (not just my opinion - most academic philosophers acknowledge it's not sound – not trying to appeal to authority, but just to acknowledge the argument’s status in the academic literature), since there's no reason to assume that if an all-good God existed, it would eliminate all evil or suffering, or for that matter any suffering/evil that actually exists.
"If there were a God controlling our lives then our lives would have no meaning because we would be no different than wooden puppets being pulled around in a silly play by a silly God."
Well, that doesn't follow for a couple of reasons. Even if we are wooden puppets being pulled along by the strings (as Islam would have it), the meaning of life would be that we are wooden puppets pulled along by the string. It may not be meaning that you or I would like, but it would be meaning.
Second, however, it doesn't follow that if there was a God, that he would be manipulating us in such a way, particularly when the main Jewish and Christian traditions have God existing consistent with humans having the free will to make moral decisions, etc. I don't see any reason why the existence of God is necessarily incompatible with humans having free will (and yes, I'm familiar with the Foreknowledge Problem, which also doesn't work).
"Being alive means being free to create your own destiny."
Well, that would be ideal to me, but I don't see why that's the meaning of "alive." And even though not being free wouldn't be a pleasant state of affairs, merely being an unpleasant reality would not make it false.
But by the way, your problem here would seem to entail that even if there was no god and yet we were determined by natural forces to do what we do (physical determinism), then life would have no meaning and we wouldn't be "alive". This seems to reflect more discomfort with determinism than a problem with the idea of a God, and again, I don't see any reason why the concept of God necessitates determinism. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, April 19, 2006 - 1:45 PM>>”We have no evidence one way or another about most things that exist in our universe of a billion galaxies each of which has hundreds of millions of stars. But it's not a logical inference to conclude that until we have evidence about something that may be out there. it probably doesn't exist.”<<
To the contrary, this is the only logical inference. You seem to be confusing probable with possible. I have never discussed the possibility of the existence of anything. I would say that anything that one might imagine might possibly exist, but the probability of any of these things existing is so low, that not believing in them until and unless evidence for their existence is forthcoming is the only logical choice.
I like to use the example that there may be a giant. invisible, yellow fish a the center of our galaxy. There is no evidence for the fish, just as there is no evidence for God. There is also no evidence that the fish does not exist, just as there is no evidence that God does not exist. In both cases there can be no definitive evidence against their existence, but the simple fact that there are no verifiable observations of either of these imagined phenomena is some evidence of their non-existence. Of course, even if we had 1 million billion trillion observations which failed to find these phenomena, it would not “prove” they don’t exist. I suggest there are many more people, over many more years making many more observations which failed to find a God, than observations which failed to find my fish, so my fish should be more believable than God… and yet I suspect you really do not believe in my fish. You are most likely not agnostic about this. And yet all the arguments that you make about God, also apply to my fish.
Both the fish and God are possible, but neither is probable until and unless there are some observations that would lead you to suspect their existence. If something is improbable it is logical to not believe in its existence. To withhold judgment in the way of the agnostic is not logical and it does not follow the evidence.
Congratulations on presenting an excellent and well written defense of your position. I would like to make some additional comments about all of it, but it will have to wait for another time. This will have to do for now. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, April 19, 2006 - 6:40 PM"To the contrary, this is the only logical inference."
No, the best logical inference in the absence of evidence one way or another is "I don't know".
"You seem to be confusing probable with possible."
No I'm not. I understand the distinction. Unless something is self-contradictory, it's logically possible. It's not improbable until it's demonstrated to be improbable. You seem to be confusing "unproven" or "unsupported" with "improbable".
"a giant. invisible, yellow fish a the center of our galaxy"
I know this is false because if it's invisible, it couldn't be yellow. And if it's a fish as we know fish to be then it's highly improbable that there's a giant one at the center of our galaxy and that it's invisible, given what we know about the nature of fish. But again, neither you nor I know anything about alleged supernatural creative entities (such as an alleged god) to know whether or not it's likely one exists.
"the simple fact that there are no verifiable observations of either of these imagined phenomena is some evidence of their non-existence."
Well, we know enough about fish to know that they aren't invisible, so if one says there's a fish at point X and I look at point X and see no fish, then there probably isn't a fish at point X. In contrast, I don't know anything about the expected nature of any alleged supernatural creative entities to know what to expect to see if I looked for one. This is just a mirror image of the elephant discussion, so we may be going in circles at this point.
"Congratulations on presenting an excellent and well written defense of your position."
Thank you. At the very least I would hope that your acknowledgement here is evidence that that there are at least some agnostics (e.g. me) who aren't some ignorant yokels who just haven't thought about the issues and are unable to make a decision. None of these arguments are new to me. I've considered them for decades and made what I believe to be the best conclusion based on the available evidence. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, April 20, 2006 - 9:17 AMAfter analyzing your many statements and comments, it is clear that our disagreement is centered on one issue. This statement best summarizes your position on this issue: “I have zero experience with such proposed entities and hence have no prior database upon which to make probabilistic judgments about the nature of such an entity if one were to exist.
Let us stop talking about God here and discuss some other products of the human imagination, to determine, if it is possible to “make probabilistic judgments” about the existence and/or nature of such entities. My position is that without any data or information it would be nearly, if not completely impossible, but certainly improbable for anyone to determine the actual existence and/or nature of anything. Let us think about something that, until fairly recently, was unknown to science- quasars. We now know that quasars exist and also know a lot about their characteristics, but before there was any data on these objects, could we have determined the probability of their existence, could we determine the probability of anyone having accurately described their characteristics?
Quasars, before their discovery, would have fit into the category of “unseen astronomical objects beyond the range of current telescopes”. Let us call them UAO’s for fun. Now in this general category, there would have existed the possibility of there being 0-infinity number of such objects. Based on prior data one would have suspected many objects and could have reasonable predicted the characteristics of most of them, nevertheless the possibility of 0-infinity such objects existed and also there existed the possibility of 0-infinity types of objects with characteristics never before observed, such as our quasar
Now, if someone came to you before the quasar was observed and said he believed there was an object out there with these characteristics, could you have made a “probabilistic judgment” about its possible existence? Yes, you could. There would be a very large, perhaps infinite number of possible objects with characteristics different from anything yet observed. The probability that any one of them might correspond to reality would be nearly infinitely small. All of the objects that we might imagine beyond the range of current telescopes can not be proven to not exist (I assert again that nothing can be *proven* to not exist), however logic demands that we do not believe in their existence until and unless they are actually observed because each one is highly improbable. Improbable things can exist- the quasar being an example, but if we had believed in the quasar before it was observed, the odds of these things existing would have been “astronomically” low and it would not have been logical to accept that this quasar idea had any merit. The idea of God is no different than any UAO, whether real or not, having not been observed, it is a product of our imagination, the odds of any conception of God or any UAO being accurate are highly improbable.
Now I suspect that you are not really convinced that the probability of any conception of God cannot be determined, only that God is just another UAO and that certainly there are many things out there beyond our current reach. In this case we agree completely, but when you give anything out there a name, such as God, you have already given it some characteristics, and the odds are very, very small that these characteristics fit anything real. In other words, it is very, very unlikely anyone could have predicted the quasar, and just as unlikely anyone might accurately imagine the next UAO to be discovered and any God would fit into this category.
You made this statement: “It's not improbable until it's demonstrated to be improbable. You seem to be confusing "unproven" or "unsupported" with "improbable". I think I have demonstrated that it is improbable that any conception of God could be accurate. There is no confusion. If some idea is unsupported by data then it is improbable. With only a little data, it may still be improbable. The probability that an idea is correct increases as the data and the quality of the data grows. With all ideas or theories we are never dealing with certainty as to their accuracy: only with probabilities and these probabilities are tied directly to whether we have data and whether that data is verifiable. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, April 20, 2006 - 12:13 PMBy that reasoning Rene the probability of any particular thing existing until we have evidence for it existing are literally infinitesimal.
It is irrational to expend resources in pursuit of something the chances of success of which are infinitesimal. For example, it would be irrational to spend five dolars to win a $10 raffle if the chances of winning are say 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 which are considerably better odds than infinitesimal.
Hence, by your reasoning, it is completely irrational to try to spend any time or resources trying to discover the existence of anything about which we have yet to find evidence, since the chances of success are infinitesimal, since by your reasoning the chance's for the entity's existence are infinitesimal until we find evidence for its existence. So the lack of evidence for the existence of some proposed entity should logically provide extremely strong reason not to look for evidence of its existence.
That doesn't sound right, and seems to run counter to the dictum of science, logic and statistics that the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.
I have a friend who's a probability expert. I'll have to ask him about this. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, April 20, 2006 - 3:31 PM>>"Hence, by your reasoning, it is completely irrational to try to spend any time or resources trying to discover the existence of anything about which we have yet to find evidence, since the chances of success are infinitesimal,"<<
Yes, and this is pretty much how science works. Resouces are directed at theories that are judged most promising by the evidence already at hand. New and really surprising things are usually found by accident. You might say this is not a good way to explore the unknown, but actually it is because we could be come totally lost exploring dead end theories, suggested only by our imaginations with no data behind them. We have to let the data lead us throough the darkness; there really is no other way.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, April 21, 2006 - 6:59 AM>>"the dictum of science, logic and statistics that the absence of evidence is not evidence of absence."<<
This is actually not an accurate statement. Absence of evidence is evidence of absence- it is simply not definitive. Each and every observation that fails to uncover a given phenomena reduces the probability of that phenomena existing. Depending on what you are trying to observe more or fewer observations may be required to make a satisfactory evaluation. You already pointed out that in the case of an elephant in the garage, this number would be low . Nevertheless, no matter how many observations you made, there would always be some probability that you somehow missed seeing the elephant, so that not seeing it could never be considered definitive proof that there was no elephant in the garage. But you would be justified in not believing in the elephant because this probability would be extremely low.
It seems to me that the most common conceptions of God are describing something not unlike an elephant in a garage. They seem to refer to an entity intimately involved in their lives, concerned with their well being- a loving creator, who will take them into his bosom when they die. It seems to me, based on this description there ought to be elephant/God footprints and elephant/God excrement all over our little garage. There ought to be stuff knocked over and a bad smell. Once in awhile I ought to see him hanging around in the garage. Since none of these things has ever happened to me and I suggest that they have never happened to billions of people over millions of years- we have a whole lot of observations concerning our elephant/God that would seem to have reduced his probability of existence to near zero, exactly like the elephant that you could not see in your garage.
Now I know what you are going to say, maybe there is a God, completely detached from our world, and not really a part of it. He is not in our garage, but over in Africa somewhere. Well maybe there is, but in that case, what difference would it make to anyone? It is basically silly that we cannot eliminate the God everyone seems to be talking about- the one in their garage, because there may be another kind of God/elephant over in Africa somewhere.
Now if I had never been to Africa, never heard of or seen an elephant and I started imaging the beasts that might live in Africa, what would be the odds that I could imagine this beast accurately without any data or information? Once again, as in all my examples, the probability would be very, very low- approaching zero. Therefore, if someone came to me an said he imagined a beast in Africa that looked like what we call an elephant, I would be completely and totally justified in saying that this is not a viable idea and to disbelieve it. Every idea of God is exactly the same as this elephant idea and should similarly be discounted- particularly the one in our garage, but also the one in Africa- unless there were some data to confirm it. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, April 21, 2006 - 12:55 PMSome more thoughts about elephants…
It seems a theist might be equated to someone who was told there is an elephant in his garage and this elephant is the most important thing in his life, but don’t bother looking in the garage; you won’t be able to see him. The theist accepts the elephant and his importance, never even tries to look in the garage and dutifully goes to church and worships his invisible elephant every Sunday.
The agnostic is told the same thing as the theist. He goes and looks in the garage and does not see anything. Since he cannot see the elephant he states he does not believe in it, but at the same time, he does not disbelieve. After all he might not be very good at elephant spotting. The elephant, being gray might blend into the gray walls of the garage; he just can’t sure about this elephant in the garage, and oh by the way, he had heard there were reports of elephants in Africa, so he imagined elephants in garages are at least theoretically possible, so he would not want to rule out this possibility.
The atheist is told the same thing as the theist and agnostic. He goes and looks in the garage and does not see any elephants. He states flatly that there is no elephant in the garage. He has heard about the elephants in Africa, but feels certain one would not be hanging around in his garage and would certainly not be the most important thing in his life, if it were.
Now it turns out the atheist was wrong and the agnostic was almost wrong, while the theist was right. There was an elephant in the garage and he was the most important thing in their lives, but of course the elephant was not real- he was only an idea. The theist wasted his life worshipping invisible elephants. The agnostic wasted his life, never being able to determine what ideas were worthy of consideration, while the atheist went on to discover that there were abundant treasures in that garage and the elephant was not among them. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, April 21, 2006 - 3:36 PM
Rene et al,
This reminds me of -- you guessed it -- my favorite elephant joke:
"Hey, my wife and I got a pet elephant this past weekend!"
"Really?"
"Yeah, but we lost it. It's in the apartment ... somewhere."
:-)
Regards,
John, just reminding everyone that, whether there are invisible elephants in the garage or not, we can still laugh about it :-)
Falling You - exploring the beauty of voice and sound
www.fallingyou.com -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, April 21, 2006 - 8:40 PMNice one John!
Atheism vs. agnosticism discussions usually come down sooner or later to a matter of who has the burden of proof and whether the absence of evidence counts as evidence of an absence. We can think of cases where it does, like the elephant in the garage. Unless your definition of the word "elephant" differs from mine, I'd have to get pretty stoned to not notice an elephant in my garage. But we can also think of cases where the absence of evidence does not imply evidence of an absence, like Anthony's example of finding intelligent life on Earth. Oh wait, that was intelligent life outside of earth. In that case we have some reasons for thinking that intelligent life might exist in other places, but our ability to "check" has not advanced to the point where we can draw firm conclusions, so we don't consider this evidence of an absence. So do we consider God more like the elephant or more like the extraterrestrial? That question should seperate the agnostics from the atheists! It also illustrates why arguments from analogy alone generally don't persuade people to change their beliefs.
The concept of god(s), fits neither model in this restrictive language game so why pick one? How about a different metaphor for god? Robert Heinlein metaphroized God as a black cat in a dark room that doesn't exist. Neurotheologians theorize that God consists of a certain type of brain activity. And hippies, Chrstian scientists, new agers, "enlightened people," and Ramtha keep telling me that God "is" love. I haven't figured out what that means yet. Will God love me long time or what?
We now return to your regularly scheduled language game, Bob...? -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, April 21, 2006 - 9:37 PM>>"Will God love me long time or what?"<<
We all love you Geoff... and we are God or maybe we are Love or both or something... however no promises about how long this will last- is until next Christmas long enough?
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 23, 2006 - 4:57 PM"We can think of cases where it does, like the elephant in the garage."
Actually I disagree. Even the elephant in the garage case is not absence of evidence being evidence of absence. If someone just claimed "There is an elephant in the garage" but offered no evidence, that would not constitute evidence that there is no elephant in the garage. What would constitute evidence is walking into the garage and looking around, (as well as the background evidence that elephants aren't likely to be found in people's garages). When you look around and see nothing, that's positive evidence that there is no elephant, since the hypothesis "there is an elephant in the garage" entails the prediction that if you walk into the garage and look around, you will see it, since elephants are large enough to be seen. So walking into the garage and seeing no elephant is a case of falsifying the "Elephant in the garage" hypothesis by testing it. That's positive evidence, not absence of evidence.
So seeing no elephant is actually positive evidence of the absence of an elephant. It's not "absence of evidence".
I don't know of any case where absence of evidence is evidence of absence, since if there is a complete lack of evidence, nothing can be inferred from that.
Looking for and not finding a God is only positive evidence of the nonexistence of God if the existence of God entails the prediction that we would see/detect such a God if we looked and such existed. I don't know of any reason to assume that. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 23, 2006 - 5:29 PMBy the way, it even seems contradictopry to assert that the absence of evidence is evidence of absence. If there's a complete lack of evidence, then how can that lack of evidence amount to evidence of anything? "Absence of evidence" means there's no evidence. if there's no evidence, then it can't be some evidence. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 23, 2006 - 9:40 PM>>"By the way, it even seems contradictory to assert that the absence of evidence is evidence of absence"<<
Not really, but I think this has already been explained quite well enough, so I chose not to address this directly. Instead let us try another tack. Your entire argument is actually quite circular. You choose to define God as something or someone who sits in a position where no evidence is possible to disprove its existence, then of course, there can be no evidence for its non-existence because that is how you have defined God.
I suggest to begin with that this premise is false. Anything that exists and interacts with our world must leave a trace. Therefore, a being such as the one you have chosen to define as God is impossible. Next you will try to claim he is omnipotent, so he can hide all his traces. This is ridiculous. Why would he hide from we puny humans? Also, the idea of omnipotence is absurd. If something exists it must have limits, if it does not have limits, then it is everything which is really the same as being nothing (think about it).
On top of all this, most people do not chose to define God as the great hide and seek player, they define him, as already discussed, as an elephant in their lives- the most important thing. Clearly, it is reasonable to assume that something this big and important would leave some traces and yet there are none. Exactly, as not finding evidence for the elephant in the garage is evidence that it does not exist, not finding any real evidence for a God, where much evidence should be expected, is evidence for its non-existence- just as you described yourself for the case of the elephant.
To define God as something for which no evidence can exist is really just a dodge, which cannot be justified. Our Christian friends do not define God this way. According to them, all we need to do is open our hearts to Jesus-God and he will fill them. Our Muslim friends do not define God this way- they bow to Mecca and submit to his will, praying to Allah every day. Zeus and the other Greek gods were not defined this way- the stories had them interacting constantly in the lives of men. Why do you chose to define God in this way just to preserve the God these people believe in as a viable possibility? Why not follow what all your senses and brain tell and assume that since there is no evidence for it; there is no God? It is time to grow up. Recognize a story for what it is- a story and nothing else. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 24, 2006 - 12:09 AM"Your entire argument is actually quite circular. You choose to define God as something or someone who sits in a position where no evidence is possible to disprove its existence, then of course, there can be no evidence for its non-existence because that is how you have defined God."
That's not circular since it doesn't assume anything it's trying to prove, which is what circularity is. The concept of God may in fact be something that is unfalsifiable. Some claims are unfalsifiable. There's nothing circular about that fact. The proposition "When I die, I will remain conscious" seems unfalsifiable to me, since in order to falsify it to me I would have to lose consciousness when I die. But if I'm not conscious, then nothing can be falsified to me, since I wouldn't be aware of falsifying evidence.
Having said that, I didn't define God is a way that's unfalsifiable. It's always possible to falsify a proposition by demonstrating that it's self-contradictory. That seems to me the only way to prove that God cannot exist, in that it is self-contradictory. I'm not aware however of any successful attempt to prove this.
"Anything that exists and interacts with our world must leave a trace."
Why? Your raw assertion of this does not constitute evidence nor argument for the truth of such an assumption. Again, if that something that exists is omniscient and omnipotent then the only way it's going to be leaving a trace is if it's consciously doing so and also has the power to refrain from doing so, being omnipotent.
"Next you will try to claim he is omnipotent, so he can hide all his traces. This is ridiculous. Why would he hide from we puny humans?"
That assumes he leaves traces in the first place that he might want to hide. Again, if he's omniscient and omnipotent, then any traces he leaves behind are precisely what he would want to leave behind, since he would have complete control over whatever he's doing. And merely declaring "That's ridiculous" is neither an argument nor does it demonstrate why an omnipotent, omniscient being would have to leave behind any traces at all. Our being "puny" proves nothing. Do you know what the attuitudes of such a being would be regarding humans? How could you know?
"Also, the idea of omnipotence is absurd. If something exists it must have limits, if it does not have limits, then it is everything which is really the same as being nothing (think about it)."
Well, I've thought about it and your argument makes no sense. Being omnipotent means being able to do anything. It does not follow from being able to do anyything that such a being would be everything. I have no idea how you could make such an inference. And I see no reason why if something exists it must have limits on its power, though if a god was discovered and it turned out that such a being's powers were virtually infinite rather than literally infinite , such a being could still be reasonably called a God. A being that could make and design our physical universe would be so incredibly powerful that I would call that virtually omnipotent, even if not literally so.
"On top of all this, most people do not chose to define God as the great hide and seek player, they define him, as already discussed, as an elephant in their lives- the most important thing."
Importance doesn't necessarily mean it's going to have elephant like empirical reactions with our environment and leave evidentiary traces. One thing doesn't follow from the other.
"Clearly, it is reasonable to assume that something this big and important would leave some traces and yet there are none. "
I don't see why, and you haven't presented any reason for assuming this. But one can point to some effects which may exist if a God existed. The believers' beliefs in God. Religious history if any of their claims of the miraculous are true. Surely many claims of the miraculous have been disproven, but the fundamental ones of the world's major religions haven't been, to my knowledge. For those religions based on miraculous claims that have subsequentkly been shown to be probably false, then that constitutes evidence against those religions, but not necessarily God him/her/itself.
"Exactly, as not finding evidence for the elephant in the garage is evidence that it does not exist, not finding any real evidence for a God, where much evidence should be expected"
You really just keep repeating your assumption that a God, if it existed, would leave elephant like evidentiary traces of its existence. You need to demonstrate why, and you have yet to do so. You claim that God, if such existed, would leave "much" evidence but you've provided no reason why.
"To define God as something for which no evidence can exist is really just a dodge, which cannot be justified. "
Whether you consider it a dodge is not relevant, since it's possible that some entities are in fact unverifiable or unfalsifiable. It's the height of anthropomorphism to assume that we "puny" humans are just so lucky to be endowed by evolution with complete senses that can discover everything that's real in the universe.
"According to them, all we need to do is open our hearts to Jesus-God and he will fill them."
For a lot of people, that's precisely what they say they experience. Whether that's actually God or something else in any particular case I don't know.
"Our Muslim friends do not define God this way- they bow to Mecca and submit to his will, praying to Allah every day."
And they believe that everything that happens is God's will, so for them EVERYTHING is indicative of God's existence, and I know of no way to prove them wrong.
"Why do you chose to define God in this way just to preserve the God these people believe in as a viable possibility?"
Though the deists did in fact define God in such a way as to eliminate any ongoing divine interaction with the world, I don't know if I'm defining God in any way that's inconsistent with Jews, Muslims or Christians. The concept of God can very well assume that God is constantly interactive with the world and with human beings. The key is that you make the additional assumption that if God is so interractive, he would leave evidentiary traces akin to an elephant leaving evidentiary traces. You haven't demonstrated any reason to assume that, other than your raw, unsupported assertion that anything that exists leaves evidentiary traces.
"Why not follow what all your senses and brain tell and assume that since there is no evidence for it; there is no God? It is time to grow up. Recognize a story for what it is- a story and nothing else"
This last part is just vacious rhetoric and hardly counts as evidence or argument. Your emotional commitment to your beliefs counts as no more evidence than a religionist asserting his certainty that God exists. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 24, 2006 - 12:24 AM"if it does not have limits, then it is everything which is really the same as being nothing (think about it)."
By the way, here is a simple proof of why the above is wrong. The set of odd numbers is infinite. In that sense it has no limits (at least sixe limits). But it doesn't follow that since it has no limits in that sense, then therefore that set must include the set of even numbers as well. A set (such as the set composed of God's hypothetical powers) can be infinite without engulfing every other set.
Now one might be tempted to respond that the set of odd numbers is limited in what kinds of numbers are within it. But that's a way of saying that though the set of odd numbers is infinite, it's not unlimited in a way that includes even numbers. Similarly, no one to my knowledge refers to God's hypothetical limitlessness in a way to mean that God is everything, or unlimited in what God is. His limitlessness is restricted to certain delimited sets, such as the set of odd numbers is limited in its infinity to a certain delimited kind of number. Namely in the case of God, his powers are limitless in the types of activities God can do. His all-goodness is limitless in the ways he can be good. etc.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 23, 2006 - 10:32 PMAnthony, you make some good points. I think our disagreement is mostly semantic.
<"If someone just claimed "There is an elephant in the garage" but offered no evidence, that would not constitute evidence that there is no elephant in the garage. What would constitute evidence is walking into the garage and looking around, (as well as the background evidence that elephants aren't likely to be found in people's garages). When you look around and see nothing, that's positive evidence that there is no elephant, since the hypothesis "there is an elephant in the garage" entails the prediction that if you walk into the garage and look around, you will see it, since elephants are large enough to be seen.">
I was thinking of evidence for a hypothesis as a piece of experiential data that confirms the hypothesis, like seeing an elephant, smelling a fat elephant turd, etc. If we observe none of these then we have no evidence. We presume that if an elephant inhabited our garage we would find some evidence, and since we don't, we take that lack of evidence as evidence of an absence. Or we wonder if the person who told us this meant one of those little crystal elephants that lady folk love to collect.
<"I don't know of any case where absence of evidence is evidence of absence, since if there is a complete lack of evidence, nothing can be inferred from that. ">
This gets into the issue of what kind of evidence we expect and the standard of justification we use seems to vary between different kinds of claims. The elephant in the garage question gets answered by a different sort of operation than the intelligent life in space question, so it makes sense to evaluate them differently. One involves walking into a room and looking around for probably 5 seconds, the other involves spending millions of dollars to send probes into space, blast radio waves out of the atmosphere, look through telescopes, and could go on indefinitely without a firm answer. And the God question seems far more nebulous and ill-defined than either of these examples. We could argue forever about what kinds of evidence we would expect to have if God did exist (though it's worth noting that the gods of some religions seem difficult to reconcile with the world we live in) So even if you don't agree with the way I use the word "evidence" I think you should still agree with the point that we evaluate the God question differently than we evaluate the elephant question or the aliens question.
Putting my atheist hat on for a moment I can think of one argument against God that actually strikes me as quite reasonable. Consider the human psychological tendency to anthropomorphize that which we do not understand, or the tendency of primitive tribes to embrace animistic belief systems. Viewing the brain as a builder of models, I think an argument could be made for treating ideas of God(s) as bad models - folk theories – pre-scientific models of the world created by early humans noticing patterns in things, but not having the luxury of rigorous experimentation and easy manipulation of variables. Folk astronomy postulated that the earth sat in the center of the universe, folk geology held that the earth was flat, folk biologists believed that species were created "as is," folk meteorology used the emotional states of deities to explain the unpredictable changes in weather. Now it even looks like folk psychology may rest on profound mistakes. Given all this, how likely does it seem that folk theology - a discipline far more isolated from direct evidence and systematic observation than any of the examples cited above - created an accurate model of its invisible domain while all these other folk theories contained glaring inaccuracies, even in their bedrock assumptions? Physics, biology, psychology and the other scientific disciplines can engage in a feedback loop with the environment to continually revise and improve their models, and get rid of bogus "intuitive" assumptions. But can theology do this? I have trouble seeing how. Can experience correct the errors of bad theology? It doesn't seem so. So theology remains to this day a folk theory, unruffled and unimproved by the darwinian struggle we see in the empirical sciences, and therefore a theory that we have little reason to take seriously, and one that we should suspect of arising from our natural tendency to anthropomorphize what we do not understand.
This may not "prove" that God doesn't exist, but then does it need to? Do we need a black and white answer? -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 23, 2006 - 11:35 PM"I was thinking of evidence for a hypothesis as a piece of experiential data that confirms the hypothesis, like seeing an elephant, smelling a fat elephant turd, etc. If we observe none of these then we have no evidence. We presume that if an elephant inhabited our garage we would find some evidence, and since we don't, we take that lack of evidence as evidence of an absence."
If you're reporting your experiences, you're reporting actual evidence, not lack of evidence, even if it's a report of failure to see something. If a doctor says that if you have X disease, then we should see Y come up on test Z. If he then fails to see Y come up on Z test, that's not an absence of evidence. That disconfirming event is positive evidence against disease X, since it's falsifying evidence.. This isn't just semantic because failure to observe something only counts as evidence against a hypothesis if the hypothesis predicts that a particular observation would be observed. If someone claimed "God exists" and never provided any evidence of anything, the fact that he doesn't provide evidence of anything is not evidence of anything regarding the truth of his claim.
"I think you should still agree with the point that we evaluate the God question differently than we evaluate the elephant question or the aliens question."
I absolutrely agree. Since we know what the nature of an elephant is and know what kinds of evidence an elephant leaves, we can make predictions of what to expect if someone claims an elephant in the garage. I don't know if there's anything we know of the God concept which would lead us to believe that we should experience any kind of evidence. I suspect we should predict a couple of things. If "God" is meant to refer to the creator of the physical universe, then if it turns out that the physical universe always existed and hence never was created, then that would seem to count as evidence against the God hypothesis. Certain religions make historical claims that may, if disproven, count against the truth of their religions. For example, if historical evidence comes up demonstrating that Muhammed was a fraud who admitted to making up everything he claimed to fool the people, then that would count against Islam. Or if the remains of Jesus of Nazareth were definitively found and hence he didn't rise from the dead, that would count against the Christian religion.
"Consider the human psychological tendency to anthropomorphize that which we do not understand, or the tendency of primitive tribes to embrace animistic belief systems"
That human beings tend to do what you subsequently describe doesn't count as evidence in a particular case that human beings are doing that. For one thing, that we tend to do that may be inculcated in our design by a God.
"Given all this, how likely does it seem that folk theology - a discipline far more isolated from direct evidence and systematic observation than any of the examples cited above - created an accurate model of its invisible domain while all these other folk theories contained glaring inaccuracies, even in their bedrock assumptions?"
Well, as I mentioned in another post, if there's an omniscient, superintelligent, omnipotent being that wanted us to believe certain things, then the chances of us believing those things are 100%. Does such a being exist? I have no idea, and I know of no way to determine whether such a thing exists or not. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 24, 2006 - 9:28 PM>>"If "God" is meant to refer to the creator of the physical universe, then if it turns out that the physical universe always existed and hence never was created, then that would seem to count as evidence against the God hypothesis."<<
It is quite impossible for something to come from nothing. Since the universe exists, it has always existed and was never created. Now you will make up some reason to deny this fact, but it is obvious and needs no proof. The idea of creation is equivalent to having having a square circle. You seem to like math, so here is your proof: 0+0 =0 (always and forever with no exceptions)
You continue to spin in your circle, asserting that can be no evidence for the non-existence of God, because you have chosen to define God as something for which there can be no evidence. No religious person believes this or really defines God in this way. If they did, they would not believe in God. They think there is abundant evidence. I think all of their evidence is bogus and thus the ideas emerging from this bogus evidence are bogus. For some inexplicable reason, you want to give credence to their ideas, by postulating a God completely different than they the one they believe in, one which you feel cannot be disproven. The simple fact is this God you have invented is not one any of these religious people would care to worship, so your invention of this God cannot save their beliefs for them or for you. I think that I have probably already said this before but it bears repeating. The concept of God is the most extraordinary, absurd, ridiculous, crazy idea ever conjured up by the human imagination. We routinely dismiss extraordinary ideas such as this unless there is some evidence to suggest that they might have some merit. No such evidence exists for the concept of God and the idea should be dismissed by any reasonable person. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 24, 2006 - 11:43 PM"It is quite impossible for something to come from nothing."
You just asserting so doesn't make it true.
"it is obvious and needs no proof."
Well, that's one way to dodge one's burden of proof. OK, I can play the same game. You're obviously wrong and that needs no proof. Wow. Easy.
Come on. Back up your claims if you can. If you can't, blowing smoke impresses no one.
But having said that, the hypothesis is not that the universe came from nothing. It's that it came from an omnipotent being. That's most certainly not "nothing".
"You continue to spin in your circle, asserting that can be no evidence for the non-existence of God, because you have chosen to define God as something for which there can be no evidence."
Again, I said no such thing. But if the concept of God involves being omnipotent and omniscient, if such a being existed, the only evidence one would find of it is precisely the evidence such a being would want you to find, since it would be fully aware of any evidence it leaves behind and would have the power to act in a way that leaves no evidence. I notice that you've made no effort to try to refute that argument. And declaring that I'm spinning in a circle is just vacuous rhetoric, impresses no one, and can hardly be considered an argument.
"No religious person believes this or really defines God in this way. If they did, they would not believe in God. "
Nothing I've asserted is in any way inconsistent with standard ways of defining God (i.e. omniscient and omnipotent). You've just repeated your article of faith that if such a being existed, he/she/it would leave evidence that you would find satisfactory, but you've never demonstrated why anyone should assume that. Talk about spinning in circles.
"They think there is abundant evidence."
Nonsense. Many do, but not all religious folks are evidentialists. Many just take it on faith.
"For some inexplicable reason, you want to give credence to their ideas"
I'm not giving any credence to anyone's ideas. But if someone makes an ill supported and unsound argument, like you have, I'll point that out. If someone can make a sound argument against the likelihood of God, I'm all ears, but you haven't done so. Burden of proof is on the claimant, and you haven't satisfied your burden.
"postulating a God completely different than they the one they believe in"
You keep repeating this but it's still nonsense. Again, I've only assumed predicates of the standard western definition of God: Creator of the physical universe and hence fundamentally different than the physical universe, omnipotent, and omniscient. The vast majority of western theologians, not to mention lay believers, would have no problems with those predicates. My argument simply followed the implications of those predicates. As I mentioned before and inexplicably you don't seem to understand, the fundamental problem in our dispute is your assumption that this purportedly nonphysical, omnipotent, omnisicent being will necessarily leave lots of evidence of his/her/its interactions with the physical universe. This is an assumption that you just repeatedly make but offer nothing to support. Apparently you have your blind faith as well.
"The simple fact is this God you have invented is not one any of these religious people would care to worship"
I'm sorry, but this suggestion is laughable. There is nothing about being worthy of worship that requires that such a being leave elephant like empirical evidence of its existence.
"The concept of God is the most extraordinary, absurd, ridiculous, crazy idea ever conjured up by the human imagination."
Well, you just saying so, no matter how earnestly or emphatically, does not constitute an argument. It's as persuastive as a staunch religionist insisting without evidence or argument that obviously God exists and anyone denying so is a fool. I'm not persuaded by emotional emphasis from either such religionists or you. I'm only impressed by sound reasoning. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, May 25, 2006 - 8:13 AM>>"I've only assumed predicates of the standard western definition of God: Creator of the physical universe and hence fundamentally different than the physical universe, omnipotent, and omniscient."<<
Your entire argument is based on a series of entirely meaningless and absurd concepts.
First, a being outside of the physical universe: Where would this be exactly? What would it consist of? Oh it would consist of nothing, since it is not physical, so then it is nothing, but it is something, but to be something, you must consist of something. The entire concept is simply absurd.
Now the entity that consists of nothing creates something out of nothing 0+0 = infinity, but leaves no trace because he does want anyone to know he exists and he is omnipotent and omniscient by definition. Why would he do all this work and chose to leave no trace? (Duh… don’t know, just because). And now the religious claim this entity wants us to love and worship him, even though he does not want to allow us to observe his presence (according to Anthony). Does this make sense to you?
Is omnipotence even a meaningful concept? The real question here is; can something exist and have no limits? Can one thing be all things? This concept is simply absurd and ridiculous. I suggest that the fact of existence requires time and space in which to exist and existence in time and space necessarily limits what you might be able to do. Existence outside of time and space is not really even a meaningful idea.
Omniscience is similarly a meaningless, absurd concept, for the same basic reasons stated above for omnipotence, as it really is a subset of omnipotence, but there is another issue we can address here. Knowledge is simply information i.e. data. To have all knowledge would mean you would have to store it somewhere. To be able to store all knowledge about the universe would we require something exponentially bigger than the universe in which to store it. Additionally, storing it would not actually give you this knowledge; you would still need to be able to access it. There is no imaginable way it could be accessed as needed. Basically the entire idea is simply absurd and ridiculous.
So here we have a series of absurd and ridiculous concepts: existence outside of the physical universe, omniscience, omnipotence and these add up to God, a concept Anthony, the agnostic feels should be given credence, since it cannot be disproved, even though every one of the concepts individually are square circles-meaningless concepts. Also, of course, the usual reason for postulating God; to create the universe is similarly absurd- nothing cannot come from something. This is obvious, but the rational Anthony wants “proof”. I suggest this experiment. Go into space- most of it is vaccum. Take some of the vaccum and add it to some more vaccum and see what you get. It would be obvious to most people what you would get, but apparently Anthony needs proof that what you would have is vaccum. I think I can save you some money. It will be vaccum. There is absolutely no doubt about this. Similarly, Anthony wants “evidence” for the non-existence of God before he will disbelieve it. The observations of billions of people over millions of years don’t count as evidence because, Anthony has defined God as something these people would not have observed. Is this rational, as he likes to think?
No, not at all- Reason requires that until there is evidence for something, we should disbelieve it. We can think up all kinds of extraordinary things- many of them beyond our observational reach. The chances that any of them might exist are so small, that they can be taken as zero. The idea of God certainly fits into this category and anyone who gives any credence to this concept is not using reason to come to this conclusion -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, May 25, 2006 - 11:50 AM"Your entire argument is based on a series of entirely meaningless and absurd concepts. "
I am underwhelmed by the logical force of your unsupported personal authority.
"First, a being outside of the physical universe: Where would this be exactly?"
"where" implies spatial location. I don't know if a God existed it would exist in space. And it is possible to have other dimensions.
"Oh it would consist of nothing, since it is not physical"
That makes the question begging assumption that the physical represents everything that's real.
"The entire concept is simply absurd. "
Only if you employ the questrion begging reasoning you just employed: "The physical is the only thing that's real. God by hypothesis isn't physical, and hence isn't real."
"Now the entity that consists of nothing"
More question begging, since you're assuming that a God would consist of nothing, which basically means it doesn't exist. If it existed, it obviously wouldn't consist of nothing. So you're assuming what you're trying to prove. Question begging.
"but leaves no trace because he does want anyone to know he exists and he is omnipotent and omniscient by definition. "
I never suggested it wouldn't want to know. I have no idea. I don't make any assumptions about what such a being would want to do. You're the one making the unsupported assumption that it would want to leave empirical evidentiary traces of itself.
"Can something exist and have no limits? Can one thing be all things?"
I already addressed this Rene. Try addressing the arguments brought against your points rather than doing the Chopper maneuver of just ignoring counter-arguments and repeating yourself. The idea that God 's power is unlimited does not mean that God is unlimited in what he/she/it is. No one other than pantheists claims that. You're attacking a straw man.
"This concept is simply absurd and ridiculous."
Only the straw man you've constructed.
"I suggest that the fact of existence requires time and space"
Well, your "suggestion" is hardly a proof. I suggest that there was a singularity that exited "prior" to the creatrion of space and time that followed the Big Bang, and most physicists apparently agree with this. So obviously some things can exist outside of the spatio-temporal menifold that we are presently familiar.
"Omniscience is similarly a meaningless, absurd concept, for the same basic reasons stated above for omnipotence, as it really is a subset of omnipotence, but there is another issue we can address here."
So you're employing the same fallacious argument for omniscience? If God's knowledge is limitless, then God must be all things? That was an absurd inference when dealing with omnipotence, and it's even more absurd when dealing with omniscience.
"To be able to store all knowledge about the universe would we require something exponentially bigger than the universe in which to store it."
This is wrong for several reasons. A. To have all knowledge of every fact of the universe doesn't necessitate storage larger than the universe. You can pack all the information contained in books in a major library in one good computer. That doesn't mean that the computer has to be larger than the library. B. Even if God (assuming it existed) was bigger than the physical universe. So what? Why is that impossible? C. You're once again assuming that an existing God would have to be located in space.
"Additionally, storing it would not actually give you this knowledge; you would still need to be able to access it. There is no imaginable way it could be accessed as needed."
What?! Says who? You can't imagine it so it must be impossible? Where's your logical proof that this is logically impossible, since if you can't demonstrate that it's logically impossible, then obviously an omnipotent being could conceivably do it.
"Basically the entire idea is simply absurd and ridiculous."
Again, repeating this kind of rhetoric is vacuous and adds nothing to the discussion, other than demonstrating your strong emotional committment to your beliefs.
"Go into space- most of it is vaccum. Take some of the vaccum and add it to some more vaccum and see what you get."
I suggest you study something about quantum physics to learn about the possibuiloity of things coming into existence out of nothing. And once again if an omnipotent creator being is added to the equation, then obviously the universe wouldn't be completely coming from nothing.
"The observations of billions of people over millions of years don’t count as evidence because, Anthony has defined God as something these people would not have observed."
Once again you're putting words in my mouth. Please pay closer attention to the arguments you are addressing.
I guess the billions of people who have never seen oxygen counts as evidence against the existence of that wacky idea.
"Reason requires that until there is evidence for something, we should disbelieve it."
Actually, that's fallacious. Reason requires that until we have evidence or reason for something, we should decline to believe it, not disbelieve it.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 9:37 AM>>”Reason requires that until we have evidence or reason for something, we should decline to believe it, not disbelieve it.”<<
I am not sure that there is any significant or meaningful difference between declining to believe something and disbelieving it- any action or decision you might make is going to be the same. This is part of the reason the agnostic position seems absurd to me, but clearly this distinction means something to you and it is really the major point of contention between our positions.
First of all, let me say that I do not believe that anything can be known with 100% certainty, so if that is what you are saying, then we agree. However many things can be known with a high degree of certainty and I am quite willing to say that I believe in things that can be known with a high degree of certainty and disbelieve those with extremely low degrees certainty. The degree of certainty we can have about anything depends on evidence can be gathered to support the idea. If an idea or theory has no valid evidence to support it, then the probability that it corresponds to any reality would be extremely low and we should disbelieve it. Failure to do this can only lead one to endlessly searching down blind alleys in any effort to gain a greater understanding of the world.
The idea of God clearly and unequivocally fits into the category of something about which there is no valid evidence and therefore only fools believe in this idea and only those who admire fools fail to disbelieve it.
There are some ideas which might have little evidence to support them, but they explain something about the world which has no other explanation, so we can hold them in the possible category; waiting for supporting data. As an example, you would not have been a fool to postulate a wind god to explain the actions of the wind, lacking any other theory to explain what you observed. Now we understand what causes wind and only a fool would not disbelieve in wind gods. This is of course how all the ideas about gods and God came about. It appears that all these theories have lost their reason to exist in the first place. They are not needed to explain anything and there is no evidence they correspond to anything real. This is why we should disbelieve in gods or God. Religious people understand this. That is why they have turned to “intelligent design” as a “scientific theory”. They want to claim there is something we don’t have an explanation for so that their faith in God can appear rational. Otherwise it is not rational to accept any idea or theory without valid evidence that is not needed to explain anything about the world, contrary to what you stated. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 11:27 AM"I am not sure that there is any significant or meaningful difference between declining to believe something and disbelieving it"
Plenty. First of all, one's rationally justified and one's not. You could reverse the equation. Is there any significant difference between declining to believe the proposition "God does not exist" and disbelieving it? Of course. Disbelieving it would mean you believe that God exists. Declining to believe it makes you an agnostic at best.
"First of all, let me say that I do not believe that anything can be known with 100% certainty, so if that is what you are saying, then we agree."
Well, some things can be known for 100% certainty. Deductive proofs can be so known. I know for 100% certainty that if Jones is male and all males are mortal, then Jones is mortal. But I'm not saying this. I'm saying that even if you claim 51% probability that God does not exist, you need evidence for that conclusion. There's no reason why people failing to priovide evidence for God's existence justifies any probabilistic conclusion about God's existence. However, if you would expect to find God observed in some manner and attempt to observe God in that manner, failure to observe God in that manner would count as evidence of God's nonexistence. But I know of no one who has provided any foundation to set up an experiment like that.
"The degree of certainty we can have about anything depends on evidence can be gathered to support the idea. "
In general I agree about a posteriori matters, but certain a priori claims can be known for 100% certainty (e.g. deductive proofs) without the need for empirical evidence.
"If an idea or theory has no valid evidence to support it, then the probability that it corresponds to any reality would be extremely low and we should disbelieve it."
This is where we disagree. if I come up to you and claim some proposition for the first time, whether I have any evidence or not for the proposition has no bearing on the probability for the truth of the proposition. To ascertain the probability of the proposition, one would have to evaluate the available evidence.
"Failure to do this can only lead one to endlessly searching down blind alleys in any effort to gain a greater understanding of the world."
Well, that's how science works, in the hope that some alleys explored are not so blind. Science doesn't learn about the universe by declaring "Well, none of my colleagues have provided any evidence about some proposition, so we can conclude that the proposition is probably false." They make judgements about the world by evaluating available evidence and doing experiments, not because their collagues have failed to offer evidence.
"The idea of God clearly and unequivocally fits into the category of something about which there is no valid evidence and therefore only fools believe in this idea and only those who admire fools fail to disbelieve it. "
Well, the above is frankly foolish. People reasonably believe plenty of things they can't empirically support. Moral values are an example. Political values are an example. They just reflect their adoption of world views that help them make decisions, plan their lives, pursue things that are important for them, etc. That's how human beings operate, since the idea of a purely logical machine making choices is absurd. You can engage in vacuous ad hominems by calling them "fools" if that makes you feel good about yourself, but it's human nature to embrace ways of viewing the world that aren't empirically demonstrable, and I'm certain you do it as well.
And furthermore, your last clause is a non-sequitur. It doesn't follow that if someone believes something without support, it's foolish to disbelieve what they believe. At best, it may be as foolish to believe what they believe, but again, you're employing the fallacy that the absence of evidence is evidence of absence. That's basically the appeal to ignorance fallacy, and we've gone over that repeatedly. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 12:19 PM>>"I'm saying that even if you claim 51% probability that God does not exist, you need evidence for that conclusion...
again, you're employing the fallacy that the absence of evidence is evidence of absence"<<
You are the one employing a fallacy.
Let us consider the following example. Someone has a dream and imagines there is a second sun, smaller than the one we usually see that always remains hidden. This sun has not been observed (like God) and there is no observed data that requires a second sun to explain it (like God), this is simply a fanciful, imaginary concept (like God).
Any rational person would say that they do not believe in the second sun, unless some evidence for it is found. The probability that this fanciful idea might be correct is directly related to the amount of valid evidence found to support the idea. If no evidence is found the probability would be extremely low and every rational person should and would disbelieve it. If some indirect, inconclusive evidence is encountered, the probability of the second sun being real would increase. Depending on how one evaluates this evidence and whether or not better theories to explain this evidence can be devised one should continue to disblieve the theory until some weight of evidence accumulates to make the theory at least plausible. Without any evidence the probablity any theory might be correct is so low that disbelief is the only rational option. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 2:35 PM"You are the one employing a fallacy."
Which fallacy would that be? Simply asserting that doesn't demonstrate anything.
"Any rational person would say that they do not believe in the second sun, unless some evidence for it is found. "
Right. It would not be rational to believe it, but if I know nothing about atrophysics at all, it's not rational for be to disbelieve it until someone presented the evidence to me that a second sun is unlikely, which in fact it is (we'd know about it given its gravitational pull).
"Without any evidence the probablity any theory might be correct is so low that disbelief is the only rational option. "
No, that doesn't work. I talked to a philosophy professor friend of mine who works in probability theory and apparently Bayesian theory tells us that it makes no sense to necessarily assign any particular probability to a claim until there's evidence (including background assumptions) presented one way or the other. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sun, May 28, 2006 - 10:14 AMWhich fallacy would that be? Simply asserting that doesn't demonstrate anything.
The fallacy you are employing is that lack of evidence cannot be taken as an indicator of the probability of a concept corresponding to any reality. Basically what you seem to believe that if one tells a big enough lie, one that no one has the means to evaluate, then it should be given credence and we should not disbelieve it. It would seem the opposite should be true- the bigger lie, the more extraordinary the claim, the more we should require valid evidence. What could possibly be a bigger lie, a more extraordinary claim than that there is some entity that is all-powerful and all-knowing that created the universe out of nothing. Usually more lies are added. The entity cares for us, has a plan for our life, will take care of us after we die (if we have faith and love him).
You say; "Bayesian theory tells us that it makes no sense to necessarily assign any particular probability to a claim until there's evidence (including background assumptions) presented one way or the other."
It does make sense to assign probabilities to claims when there is no evidence, but the claim of a God has many background assumptions- there is time and space outside of our time and space, omnipotence is possible, omniscience is possible, creation from nothing is possible, and more. I would dispute all of the background assumptions, and assign a near zero probability based on this. But even if they were possible without any evidence we can assign a near zero possibility to this claim or any other claim that similarly lacks evidence. Why? Because it is possible for us to imagine an infintite number of things, or concepts, but without anything to base our concept on the probability it might correspond to reality is remotely small. You can test this. Build a computer program that can generate geometric forms and build complex objects. Give it no data to base the complex objects on, other than simple geometric forms. What are the odds the program will generate any objects truly resembling anything real. I would guess they would be remotely small.
Another example. We know there are elephants in Africa. What would be the odds that anyone having never seen an elephant could imagine a beast like this with no evidence. The odds are remotely small. The simple fact is that without data, without evidence it is not possible to construct any accurate picture of any possible aspect of the universe and any model we construct in this way would have a remotely small probability of corresponding to any reality. The concept of God is such a model and there is a only a remotely small probability it might correspond to any reality. As such, no rational person can fail to disbelieve it. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 11:27 AM"The fallacy you are employing is that lack of evidence cannot be taken as an indicator of the probability of a concept corresponding to any reality."
That's not a fallacy. In fact, quite the opposite, as the opposite of the above, "Absence of evidence being evidence of absence", which you appear to be assuming, is the fallacy of Appeal to Ignorance. "No evidence" does not entail anything existential to be true, and hence "Absence of evidence is evidence of absence" is a fallacy, since the conclusion does not follow the premise .
"Basically what you seem to believe that if one tells a big enough lie"
Begs the question, since a "lie" is by definition false, and I have no reason to believe that "God exists" is false. You repeat this question begging every subsequent time you referred to a "lie."
"It would seem the opposite should be true- the bigger lie"
Well, obviously if it's a lie it should be disbelieved, since a lie is by definition false. You're really begging the question here Rene.
"It does make sense to assign probabilities to claims when there is no evidence"
Sorry, but I don't really accept your personal authority on this point.
"but the claim of a God has many background assumptions- there is time and space outside of our time and space, omnipotence is possible, omniscience is possible, creation from nothing is possible, and more."
Right, and we've gone over these subjects, and you haven't presented any persuasive reason which such characteristics are unlikely. And as to existing in space and time, it's not necessary that if a god existed it would exist outside of time and space. I just don't see any reason why it would have to exist in time and space.
"Because it is possible for us to imagine an infintite number of things, or concepts, but without anything to base our concept on the probability it might correspond to reality is remotely small."
This argument is self-refuting. For every proposition there exists a negation of that proposition. So for every proposed state of affairs X there exists a proposed state of affairs constituting the negation of X. So if lacking any evidence for the truth of proposition X means that we should consider the proposition to be highly unlikely true, then we should also consider the negation of such a proposition to be high unlikely true without supporting evidence. Which means that for any proposition for which there is no evidence that it's true or false, we should simultaneously conclude that the propostion is both highly unlikely to be true and highly unlikely to be false. But that's self-contradictory. Hence, you're reasoning is unsound.
The more rational position is to not assign probability assessments one way or another until one has evidence pushing probability one way or another.
"The simple fact is that without data, without evidence it is not possible to construct any accurate picture of any possible aspect of the universe and any model we construct in this way would have a remotely small probability of corresponding to any reality."
Then a universe with God is just as unlikely as a universe without God, by this reasoning. Hence, a wash.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 3:33 PM>>R:"The fallacy you are employing is that lack of evidence cannot be taken as an indicator of the probability of a concept corresponding to any reality."
A:That's not a fallacy."<<
Let us continue to explain why it is fallacious to assert that “absence of evidence” is not sufficient reason to disbelieve an extraordinary claim. You seem to be failing to grasp that logic demands when a claim is asserted, the one making the claim bears the burden of proof and until proof is forthcoming we should assume the claim is false.
Here are more examples: I might claim that I am a god, as many men have throughout the ages. Would you assume this to be false and disbelieve it until I provided evidence? I feel certain that you would. You would not be agnostic about my godhood. You would disbelieve it. How is my claim to godhood different in any respect from Sister Mary’s claim that there is an invisible God watching over us? Why would you assume my claim to be false and not hers? There is no legitimate reason. I am actually more likely to be a real god than the one that Sister Mary’s imagines because at least there is some evidence that I exist, whereas there is no evidence that Sister Mary’s God exists. As an existent being, who can say what powers I might possess? Surely the utter profundity of my writing here is indicative of potential godhood?
You have discussed the invisible oxygen in the air as an example of something we do not normally observe, saying that our not observing it is not a valid reason to disbelieve in oxygen. This is quite misleading and actually wrong. If oxygen were a nebulous, poorly defined concept like God, not observing it would certainly be a valid reason to disbelieve it. Oxygen after all is just a word that represents a model of the world that we believe to be accurate because the model is based on a wide variety of data and observations. If it were based on no data or observations and someone simply said; I believe there is a magical, invisible substance in the air which I will call oxygen- any rational person would disbelieve this claim until some observations and data to support the assertion were provided.
Without any data or observations the chance of any model corresponding to any reality are near zero and the model should be given no credence. Our oxygen model is supported by a wide variety of data and observations, but it still might not be a completely accurate model of reality. The probability it is correct increases towards one as more data accumulates and approaches zero when there is no data. I do not believe that any amount of data can make the probability of a model being correct equal to one, nor is there zero chance for any particular model being correct. Total certainty is not required to believe or disbelieve in something. All that is required is a high or low degree of probability and the degree of probability is a function of the quality and amount of data available to test the validity of the model.
Believing or disbelieving some idea simply means that we have sufficient confidence in our analysis of an idea to act on it. Life does not allow us to know anything with 100% certainty, but we still have to act. Requiring 100% certainty before believing or disbelieving in anything; before being willing to act, is not an effective way to navigate life, or to gain a greater understanding of the universe. We have to make decisions, choose paths to investigate that offer promise. There is a road to heaven, toward ultimate power and knowledge- it is marked by what we can observe, outside of this road is a wasteland where many have and will become lost. God is the ghost in that wasteland, drawing many out, but as they wander there, the ghost disappears when they touch it, it was only an illusion; offering them no comfort as the sand slides from their hands and their tears wet the barren ground, the sadness overwhelming them as they finally understand they wasted their lives pursuing nothing. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 6:26 PM"Let us continue to explain why it is fallacious to assert that “absence of evidence” is not sufficient reason to disbelieve an extraordinary claim."
You're misusing the term "fallacious." You may believe that what I assert is false, but just being false (even assuming it is) is not the same thing as being a fallacy. As it stands,f or reasons I've already addressed, it is you who is embracing the fallacy of Appeal to Ignorance.
"I might claim that I am a god, as many men have throughout the ages. Would you assume this to be false and disbelieve it until I provided evidence?"
I wouldn't assume it. I would say that there's good evidence that you're not a god, depending on what you meant by a "god." If you mean an all powerful, all knowing being, you certainly don't act like one. Why are you on the Internet trying to convince me of your beliefs if you're all powerful and superwise? That's the problem with people who claim to be gods. Their behavior is much more consistent with normal delusional mortals than the types of beings they're describing, which leads one to conclude that it's much more reasonable to conclude that they're nothing really special.
"How is my claim to godhood different in any respect from Sister Mary’s claim that there is an invisible God watching over us?"
Because I can see you and what you do, and your behavior doesn't look like the behavior of what you (hypothetically) claim to be, and looks more consistent with the behavior of people who delusionally claim to be God or Napoleon or whatever.
"If oxygen were a nebulous, poorly defined concept like God, not observing it would certainly be a valid reason to disbelieve it."
You have that backwards. If a concept is sufficiently nebulous, we would have no basis for assessing whether it existed or not. Furthermore, not observing it would only justify disbelieving it if we had reason to believe that we should be able to observe oxygen, regardless of how vague the description. But of course we don't.
The remainder of your post simply repeats claims you've made previously and that I've already addressed, so there's no point in my repeating my counterarguments, since arguments (for either of us) don't improve with repetition. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 8:49 PMSince the fallacy of "arguing from ignorance" or "negative proof" keeps coming up, I decided to consult my informal logic Bible "Attacking Faulty Reasoning" by T Edward Damer (the textbook for my intro to logic class).
Damer defines the fallacy as:
<"This fallacy consists in assuming that a claim is true because there is no evidence or proof that it is false or because of the inability or refusal of an opponent to present convincing evidence against it. Conversely, it consists in assuming that a claim is false because there is no evidence or proof that it is true or because of the refusal or inability of an opponent to present convincing evidence for it.">
Later he says:
<"Another possible name for this fallacy is the "fallacy of shifting the burden of proof," because it violates a standard methodological principle that the burden of proof for any claim generally rests upon the person who sets forth the claim.">
But obviously a person's inability to support a claim may have more to do with that person's inability than the claim itself.
Another juicy morsel from Damer:
<"This fallacy probably gains its appearance as a good argument from a legitimate way of arguing that appears to be similar to it in form. If methods of proof are available and they have been used in a sincere effort to prove or disprove the claim in question and have failed, then the contrary claim can usually be legitimately inferred.">
You guys can hash out how all of this supports only your arguments. Maybe you can eventually come to an agreement over who has the more rational non-belief in God.
I’ll just point out something that never occurred to me when I read Damer as a freshman. His view of logic and reason comes from a long tradition of western philosophers and logicians who saw the mind as essentially a sentence-cruncher. If we think of the nervous system as more of a model builder, then the sentential logic game starts to seem silly. By having to classify every statement as true or false, we can miss the big picture. Would you consider Copernicus’s heliocentric solar system model true or false? Well, it needed some serious tweaking, but by and large it represents one of the most profound revolutions in human thought. We don’t have to call it true or false. We can think of it as a cognitive prototype that bears some degree of isomorphism to our experience.
Applying this line of thinking to the debate at hand, how much difference do we really see between the model of the atheist and the model of the agnostic? I see nothing in the disagreement that we could check against any actual experience or empirical data point. Perhaps the atheist and the agnostic have found one of the strange loops in the linguistic framework of sentential logic – an issue that they can debate ad infinitum because the system yields more than one internally coherent position, but gives no obvious way for observation or experience to decide between them. From a cognitive perspective, I don’t see much difference between atheism and agnosticism. They both seem like words used to describe why one does not model the world using a supreme anthropomorphic intelligent being model like the one rednecks call “Gawd.” Given such profound similarity I've never understood why atheists and agnostics piss each other off so much.
Rene and Anthony, thank you for generously volunteering your time to test my theory that this debate can be carried on ad infinitum. Posterity awaits our conclusion. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 9:21 PM>>"I don’t see much difference between atheism and agnosticism. They both seem like words used to describe why one does not model the world using a supreme anthropomorphic intelligent being model like the one rednecks call “Gawd.” Given such profound similarity I've never understood why atheists and agnostics piss each other off so much."<<
Once again, I find I pretty much agree with you and actually this discussion has given me a better understanding and respect for the agnostic viewpoint, although I am sure this has not been apparent as I fight to make my points.
So now to make one more point: you say: "thank you for generously volunteering your time to test my theory that this debate can be carried on ad infinitum" There is a lack of evidence about the ad infinitum part since we have only been doing this for a finite time (although I am sure it seems infinite) Thus this is an extraordinary claim that lacks evidence, so following my earlier logic, I should disbelieve it. Anthony, however, should have non-disbelief (semi-belief in English) for this theory. But, oh my, I am going to be inconsistent here- I believe your theory is correct. Does this make me a religious person? Do I have to go to church now? Please don't make me go. I hate the kneeling in the pews. That incense makes me cough. I have to pee...
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 8:53 PM>>R: "I might claim that I am a god, as many men have throughout the ages. Would you assume this to be false and disbelieve it until I provided evidence?"
A: I wouldn't assume it."<<
So let us sum up your position: you cannot assume to be false any ridiculous, extraordinary claim anyone might make including that he/she is God, that there is a spiritual sun that allows for conciousness to exist on Earth, that Sister Mary's imagined watchdog God is real, that alligators can fly, but only when we are not looking, invisible blue fairies make flowers bloom... and an infinite number more. This, according to you is what reason demands.
What reason and logic actually demands is that extraordinary claims that lack evidence should be disbelieved unless and until evidence for them is found. You claim that this is "the fallacy of Appeal to Ignorance." Quoting from this website: www.infidels.org/library/m...#shifting: "Argumentum ad ignorantiam means "argument from ignorance." The fallacy occurs when it's argued that something must be true, simply because it hasn't been proved false. Or, equivalently, when it is argued that something must be false because it hasn't been proved true. Note that this isn't the same as assuming something is false until it has been proved true. In law, for example, you're generally assumed innocent until proven guilty."
What I have done is assume something is false until there is evidence for it. I did not say it *must be* false because it has not been proved true. More from the website above: "The burden of proof is always on the person asserting something. Shifting the burden of proof, a special case of Argumentum ad Ignorantiam, is the fallacy of putting the burden of proof on the person who denies or questions the assertion." which is exactly what you have done by requiring that there must be evidence of falsehood before extraordinary claims can be disbelieved.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 12:02 AM"you cannot assume to be false any ridiculous, extraordinary claim"
You've gotten into a question begging habit of late. The only way you can rationally judge a claim to be "ridiculous" is if you have evidence of its ridiculousness. I already said that if you claimed to be a god, I would judge that to be implausible. But my judgment of that is not because of lack of evidence. On the contrary. It's because first, an inductive judgment can be made based on the fact that people who have claimed to be someone really extraordinary, such as Jesus or Napoleon or God, are universally discovered in my past experience to be delusional. Hence if any particular person claimed to be god, there's a high correlation of that claim to being delusional. Second, a person making such a claim is unlikely to behave as the type of person they are claiming. If you claim to be a god, then I would expect to see extraordinary things from you consistent with what a god is. If I don't see that, then it's more likely that you're just an ordinary, delusional person.
Come on. If someone claimed to be a god and you said that that claim was ridiculous and someone asked why, saying "Well, they presented no evidence of being a god" would be pretty weak. There's plenty of background evidence of them not being a god.
"alligators can fly"
For me at least, the claim "alligators can fly" is ridiculous not because there is no evidence that they can, but because there is plenty of evidence that they can't. Alligators aren't designed to fly. If someone said to you, "there are mammals that lay eggs" without providing evidence, and you knew nothing about biology, would it be logical to just assume that that claim was false just because you know nothing about the platypus? No. If however I knew something about biology but was only exposed to mammals that gave birth to live young and heard for the first time the claim about mammals (the platypus) that lay eggs, I can make a reasonable subjective judgment that the claim was unlikely to be true, and in fact is rather extraordinary, based on my otherwise universal experience to the contrary. So the judgment of such a claim being extraordinary is based on background evidence, not on lack of evidence.
"invisible blue fairies make flowers bloom."
Well, that's impossible on its face because if it's invisible, it can't be blue. And I would want to know what a "fairy" is to assess its plausibility. If it's an entirely superfluous concept, which it seems to be since there are other adequate reasons for flowers blooming that I know about, then I would have no reason to accept the existence of flower bloom causing fairies. In fact, what sense would it make to say that the fairies cause flowers to bloom when I know what causes flowers to bloom, and it doesn't look like fairies? Superfluous causation is not causation.
"What reason and logic actually demands"
Rene, you like making audacious claims like "what reason demands" or what "rational people believe" or that people who disagree with you are fools, etc. I'm not impressed with such bloviating, and I don't know who is. if it's an exercise in ego, so be it, but it adds zilch to support your reasoning and is simply tiresome. If you have an argument to make, make it. The rest is just hot air.
"extraordinary claims that lack evidence should be disbelieved unless and until evidence for them is found."
Not because you say so, no matter how much you claim what "reason" demands. And how do you assess whether a claim is "extraordinary" unless you're able to make some initial probability assignment? Once again you beg the question, since you initially dismiss a claim as "extraordinary" - i.e. improbable - and then conclude that such claim should thus be rejected as false unless there's evidence for its truth. Well, if you initially assume that a claim is implausible, then of course it's not much of a leap to conclude that the claim is implausible. But that's question begging.
"when it is argued that something must be false because it hasn't been proved true. Note that this isn't the same as assuming something is false until it has been proved true"
Reread what you wrote, because I see no difference between those two propositions. How is asserting that something is false because it hasn't been proved true different than assuming it's false until it has been proved true? Both amount to making inferences of falsefood from lack of evidence for truth.
"In law, for example, you're generally assumed innocent until proven guilty."
That's a poor analogy since the legal assignment of the burden of proof is a policy decision. It isn't a requirement of logic. In some other countries, the burden of proof is instead on the defense to prove innocence. The presumption of innocence in our system merely says that it's the state's burden to prove their cause to a level beyond reasonable doubt (which is an arbitrary standard), and if they don't, then they haven't proven their case. But if they haven't, there is no inference as a matter of law that the person is innocent. It's just concluded that the person has not been found guilty beyond reasonable doubt, which is the legal standard of proof that needed to be reached. For example, if being acquitted meant that a person should legally be considered innocent, then OJ couldn never have been found liable in a civil case for wrongful death, which he was. But it was perfectly consistent to find that he was probably (lower standard of proof) guilty of wrongful death at the same time as that there wasn't enough evidence to find him guilty of murder beyond reasonable doubt.
But I digress. The short answer is that legal presumptions are just policy decisions to assign particular burdens of proof to parties. They're not requirements of logic.
"What I have done is assume something is false until there is evidence for it."
What that means is that you're inferring a proposition to be false from the fact that you haven't seen evidence for its truth, which is the fallacy of Appeal to Ignorance.
"which is exactly what you have done by requiring that there must be evidence of falsehood before extraordinary claims can be disbelieved. "
Wrong again. I make no claim about anything, so I have no burden to shift. if you claim that God likely doesn't exist, which you seem to, then you properly have a burden to demonstrate it. Inferring the truth of that belief (that God likely doesn't exist) from the lack of evidence is a case of fallacious Appeal to Ignorance. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 6:43 AM>>"There's plenty of background evidence of them not being a god. "<<|
No, because they could play hide and seek being all-powerful, just like the God you fail to disbelieve.
>>"Superfluous causation is not causation."<<
The same arguement you apply to blue, invisible fairies can be applied to the God you fail to disbelieve.
>>'he claim "alligators can fly" is ridiculous"
The same arguement that you apply to alligators can be applied to God: "I can make a reasonable subjective judgment that the claim was unlikely to be true, and in fact is rather extraordinary, based on my otherwise universal experience to the contrary." No entity that you have encountered has the ability to create something from nothing, or is omnipotent and omniscient, just like you have not encountered any alligator-like beasts that can fly.
The central point of our disagreement is illustrated by this question:
"...how do you assess whether a claim is "extraordinary" unless you're able to make some initial probability assignment?"
Extraordinary means outside of our experience. How does one assess the likelihood that any idea or theory might correspond to reality.? The only way to do it is to see if there are any data or observations that show the theory corresponds to reality. If there is no data or observations the only possible assessment is that the probability is near zero. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 11:18 AM"No, because they could play hide and seek being all-powerful, just like the God you fail to disbelieve. "
I'm either aware of them or I'm not. If I'm aware of them, then I'm aware of how they behave (to some degree at least), and so I can assess whether they behave like the gods they claim to be. And I'm also aware that they act just like many others who turned out to be delusional. Hence I have evidence with which to make a probalistic judgment. If they were by hypothesis completely invisible to me and unlike anything in my experience (like the standard God hypothesis), then I would have no way of assessing the probability of their existence.
"The same arguement you apply to blue, invisible fairies can be applied to the God you fail to disbelieve. "
Not really. First of all, "invisible blue fairies" is self contradictory, since you can't be any color if you're invisible. I haven't in contrast seen any sound effort that demonstrates that the concept of God is self-contradictory. Second, I know what causes flowers to bloom, so I can dismiss proposed superfluous causes of blooming flowers. In contrast, I don't know all that was sufficient to cause the creation of the physical universe, assuming it was caused at all, nor do I know for certain what entirely caused human beings to exist, though I know evolution played a fundamental role. I just don't know if evolution is entirely sufficient to explain everything about human beings.
If it is eventually proven that physical processes entirely explain everything that a God is purported to be the creator of, i would find that to be evidence against the existence of a creator God.
"The same arguement that you apply to alligators can be applied to God: "I can make a reasonable subjective judgment that the claim was unlikely to be true, and in fact is rather extraordinary, based on my otherwise universal experience to the contrary." No entity that you have encountered has the ability to create something from nothing, or is omnipotent and omniscient, just like you have not encountered any alligator-like beasts that can fly."
Incorrect. First of all, I know alligators can't fly because I know how alligators are designed (metaphorically speaking), and they aren't designed for flight. In contrast, I don't know how a god, if one existed, would be designed. And all that follows from the fact that nothing in my experience can create something from nothing is that God, if he/she/it existed, is entirely unlike anything in my experience, which would be expected anyway since the purported God is supposedly the ultimate creator of evevrything in my experience, and there's no reason to assume that the creator is just like the creation. You can't, for example, rationally conclude that a painter is made of oil paint just because his creation contains oil paint. What's true of the creation isn't necessarily true of the creator. So I have no rational basis to make any inference about a God that hypothetically existed, based on anything in my experience.
"Extraordinary means outside of our experience."
I see. On its face, that seems fair. Though that would mean that all new information would be extraordinary and should be assumed to be false by your reasoning until proven otherwise. Maybe that's reasonable. I'd have to think about it.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 7:04 AM>>"Wrong again. I make no claim about anything, so I have no burden to shift. if you claim that God likely doesn't exist, which you seem to, then you properly have a burden to demonstrate it."<<
You make a positive claim: that it is possible and not improbable that God exists.
This is a positive claim and logicaly bears the burden of proof.
Negative claims do not logically bear this burden. If this were not true the burden of proof would be a moot point since every positive assertion has a negative assertion opposing it.
>>"What that means is that you're inferring a proposition to be false from the fact that you haven't seen evidence for its truth, which is the fallacy of Appeal to Ignorance. "<<
I am not inferring anything to be false. I am inferring that it is improbable. The only assessment we can really make about anything is that it is probable or improbable. We should believe in probable things, like the sun rising tomorrow and disbelieve improbable things, like there is an invisible father guy in the sky watching over us and act according to our beliefs. The only way to assess what is probable or what is improbable is to gather data and information. If none is available, the idea is not worth considering; it is improbable it corresponds to reality- particularly our reality which is the only one that actually makes a difference to us. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 11:00 AM"You make a positive claim: that it is possible and not improbable that God exists. "
No I didn't. I explicitly stated I have no idea if it's probable, improbable, possible, or impossible. You're the one making the positive claim, not me. Since you're making an affirmative claim, then you assume a burden of proof.
"I am not inferring anything to be false. I am inferring that it is improbable."
Which is the same thing as affirming it to be probably false, which is an affirmative claim. Aside from that meaning that you assume a burden of proof, you're also making a fallacious inference from ignorance. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 11:28 AM>>"No I didn't. I explicitly stated I have no idea if it's probable, improbable, possible, or impossible. You're the one making the positive claim, not me. Since you're making an affirmative claim, then you assume a burden of proof. "<<
Ridiculous nonsense- if you do not disbelieve a concept, it means you think it must at least be possible and not extremely improbable. Whether you want to admit it or not, yours and the theists claim is the positive claim and bears the burden of proof. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 12:46 PM"Ridiculous nonsense- if you do not disbelieve a concept, it means you think it must at least be possible and not extremely improbable."
Nope. I do consider it possible that the concept is fundamentally incoherent, so I take no position on whether it's actually possible or not, as well as whether it instantiates in reality or not.
What's ridiculous nonsense is you inferring that taking no position on a concept entails taking a position on a concept.
"Whether you want to admit it or not, yours and the theists claim is the positive claim and bears the burden of proof."
Wow, this is absurd. I make no claim. You claim that the concept of God is improbable, and yet I have a burden of proof but you don't, even though you're making an affirmative claim and i'm not? Your ilogic is dizzying.
Theists claim that the existence of God is probable or certain. Athiests like you assert that the existence of God is improbable or impossible. Both of you guys have burdens of proof, since both of you are making affirmative claims of fact. Agnostics like myself are not. We're just in a position of being undecided until convinced otherwise.
Whether you like it or not, if you affirm that the existence of God is implausible/ridiculous/improbable, etc., then by making that affirmative claim you assume a burden of proof. Since I make no claim about God's existence, I have no burden of proof regarding God's existence. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Mon, June 5, 2006 - 8:45 PM>>”I make no claim. You claim that the concept of God is improbable, and yet I have a burden of proof but you don't, even though you're making an affirmative claim and i'm not? Your ilogic is dizzying…<<
I am not making any positive claim. A positive claim would be, for instance, if someone says they saw a 12 foot tall human. I would say I do not believe this claim because in my experience, humans are never this tall and it seems unlikely that one would be. My not believing is not a positive claim and does not bear the burden of proof. It would be a positive claim if someone said humans might be 12 feet tall (an agnostic position). I would say I do not believe that humans might be 12 feet tall. I do not believe this is a viable possibility because nothing in my experience indicates humans of this size might exist. The agnostic claim that it is possible would need further evidence in order to change my mind from the default negative position for extraordinary claims.
The claim that an omnipotent creator exists is extraordinary claim almost exactly like the claim of seeing of 10 foot tall human and everything said above about the tall human claim applies to the omnipotent creator claim. The only difference between the two claims might be that some making the omnipotent creator claim might also claim the omnipotent creator might always be outside of our experience and so no one could ever investigate this claim.
This secondary claim actually makes the claim less believable rather than more believable. It is like catching a thief in the act of stealing something and he makes the claim that the owner gave it to him. Of course, the owner left town last Thursday, he says, so you cannot check that out, but believe me, he really did and I just came by to pick it up.
You say: “Since I make no claim about God's existence, I have no burden of proof regarding God's existence.”<<
You keep claiming that your claim to not know anything about God’s existence is not a claim, but you are asserting that God *might* exist, but you are not sure. I say show me the evidence. Show me how God *might* exist. Show me some evidence such a being *might* exist. Show me how anything *might* be omnipotent. Show me how it *might* be possible to create something from nothing. Show me how a human might be 12 feet tall. If you do not think that he *might* exist, then you do not think he exists and you are an atheist. If you make the positive claim that such an absurd concept might correspond to reality, then the burden of proof is on you. This is logic; sorry it makes you dizzy- unfamiliar things sometimes do this to people. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 8, 2006 - 7:15 AM"I am not making any positive claim. A positive claim would be, for instance, if someone says they saw a 12 foot tall human."
This is ridiculous again. You seem to think that positive claims are only claims that you personally find implausible. A positive claim is any claim with truth value (can be true or false) that someone else has no reason to believe unless it's justified. The propositions "God is improbable" or "God probably doesn't exist", which you assert, both have truth values. No one has any reason then to believe them to be true unless some reason is given for them to believe them. That's what burdens of proof issues are all about. Is any reason given for someone to believe some affirmative claim (i.e. a claim with truth value)? The claimant has the burden to provide reason why someone else should accept his/her claim as true if he/she expects someone else to believe the claim. If no reason is given, then the burden of proof is not met, and no one else has any reason to believe that claim.
You have claimed that God is improbable. That claim is true or false. Hence, if you expect someone to believe it to be true, you have a burden of proof to provide reasons to believe it. You may think you have reasons to believe it, but you still have a burden of proof.
It frankly mystifies me how some atheists think they can claim anything they want but never think they ever have any burden of proof to justify their claims.
As for me, I make no claim about God's existence, or even if the concept of God is coherent at all. Hence, I have no burden of proof regarding God's existence.
"You keep claiming that your claim to not know anything about God’s existence is not a claim, but you are asserting that God *might* exist, but you are not sure."
No, you are putting words in my mouth and ignoring what I've been repeatedly and explicitly saying, apparently because what I actually am saying doesn't fit the strawman you find it easier to attack. For the (at least) third time, I have no idea whether the concept of God is ultimately coherent or not, so I DON'T assert that God is possible. Repeat, I DON'T assert that God is possible, so stop claiming that I am. I have no idea if God possibly exists, or actually exists. Again, I claim NOTHING about God's existence. Hence, I have no burden of proof regarding the possible or actual existence of God.
If you claim that the concept of God is impossible, another claim with truth value, then YOU have a burden of proof to justify why anyone should believe your claim. We've already gone over your omnipotence/omniscience/etc. arguments, and none of those arguments were persuasive for reasons I already stated. So you still haven't provided any good reason why I or anyone should accept your claim as true.
"If you do not think that he *might* exist, then you do not think he exists and you are an atheist."
Nope. "I don't have a belief whether God might possibly exist" is not equivalent with "I believe that it is impossible for God to exist." There is no belief or claim associated with the former whereas there is with the latter.
A human being is born into this world with no beliefs about God. That human being at that point is agnostic, since s/he has no reason to believe in God or believe that God doesn't exist. But a newborn infant doesn't believe that God cannot possibly exist. S/he has no beliefs one way or the other. As s/he grows older, maybe some persuasive reason is one day given to him/her for him/her to believe that a God could possibly or actually exist or not exist, but until that day, s/he has no reasons to believe anything regarding the possibility or actuality of God. If someone wants him/her to adopt some belief about God's actuality or possibility, that other person has a burden to provide some reason to that agnostic to adopt their beliefs about God's existence or possibility.
"This is logic; sorry it makes you dizzy- unfamiliar things sometimes do this to people"
I'm perfectly familiar with logic. I'm also familiar with Orwellian logic, such as claiming that war is peace, freedom is slavery, and having no belief about God's existence entails having a belief about God's existence. Orwellian logic is not logical, and neither are your arguments. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 8, 2006 - 12:28 PM>>"I'm also familiar with Orwellian logic"<<
...and quite adept at it. Labeling my non-belief as belief. Labeling your semi-belief as non-belief, saying "I don't have a belief whether God might possibly exist" which can only be interpreted to mean that you think God might exist. You can try to twist it and turn it all you like, but this is a positive claim that bears the burden of proof. Not believing someone's extraordinary claim cannot in any way be logically construed to be a positive claim. I will give you clue how you can determine if a claim is positive or its negation. The negation of positive claims conatans negative terms such as non-belief, disbelief, or no belief. Positive claims lack these terms. It is not so hard to understand- I am sure you can manage it, if you just keep trying. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 8, 2006 - 12:50 PMThis last post of yours is just vacuous rhetoric Rene that just ignores my previous arguments as if they didn't exist (very convenient), in addition to some made up rules that you concocted ad hoc as to burdens of proof. I think this thread is done. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, June 9, 2006 - 7:07 AM>>”Rene that just ignores my previous arguments as if they didn't exist”<<
That is because for all practical purposes, they don’t exist- I have already addressed each and every viable argument that you have presented many times already. In contrast, there are many of my arguments which you simply ignored. I list a couple below:
R: “The only assessment we can really make about anything is that it is probable or improbable. We should believe in probable things, like the sun rising tomorrow and disbelieve improbable things, like there is an invisible father guy in the sky watching over us and act according to our beliefs. The only way to assess what is probable or what is improbable is to gather data and information. If none is available, the idea is not worth considering; it is improbable it corresponds to reality- particularly our reality which is the only one that actually makes a difference to us.”
A: No answer
R: “There is no doubt that reason is fallible; there might be a God. But, reason is the only tool we have to unravel the mystery before us, to abandon reason is to abandon all hope of unraveling that mystery. Our reason appears to me to be nothing more than a sophisticated computer program. Such a program cannot generate viable models without data. The quality of the input determines the quality of the output. If there is no input, then whatever model is output can only be gibberish- all it might reflect is some aspects of the original program. God is an output model for which there has been no data input. Without data no output model has any real chance of corresponding to reality. The only way a viable model could be output by our reason without any valid input data, is if our reason is something entirely different than a sophisticated computer program. Is this what you are arguing?”
A: No answer
Then there are some arguments of mine that you did answer with completely ineffective responses which in no way countered or refuted my argument. Two examples:
R: “The same argument that you apply to alligators can be applied to God: "I can make a reasonable subjective judgment that the claim was unlikely to be true, and in fact is rather extraordinary, based on my otherwise universal experience to the contrary." No entity that you have encountered has the ability to create something from nothing, or is omnipotent and omniscient, just like you have not encountered any alligator-like beasts that can fly.
>>”For me at least, the claim "alligators can fly" is ridiculous not because there is no evidence that they can, but because there is plenty of evidence that they can't.”<<
R:” How is my claim to godhood different in any respect from Sister Mary’s claim that there is an invisible God watching over us? Why would you assume my claim to be false and not hers? There is no legitimate reason.”
A:”I already said that if you claimed to be a god, I would judge that to be implausible. But my judgment of that is not because of lack of evidence. On the contrary. It's because first, an inductive judgment can be made based on the fact that people who have claimed to be someone really extraordinary, such as Jesus or Napoleon or God, are universally discovered in my past experience to be delusional.”<<
For these types of responses there was no need to offer any refutation. Anyone but you reading them would clearly see that they fail to address the real issues.
As far as “rules that you concocted ad hoc as to burdens of proof”- sorry but these are simply the rules of logic; too bad you failed to learn and understand them. I will review them one more time for you: Positive claims logically bear the burden of proof, since there are an infinite number of false claims that one might make- the negative is assumed until the positive claim is demonstrated by logic or proven by evidence. Every positive claim has a negative claim opposing it, so trying to reframe the negation of a positive claim as a different positive claim is simply absurd and this is what you do when you assert that not believing the positive claim that God exists is in some way a positive claim bearing the burden of proof. Put simply- it isn’t. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, June 9, 2006 - 7:32 AMWe're going in circles Rene. This is no longer worth my time -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, June 9, 2006 - 1:11 PM>>"We're going in circles "<<
Yes, maybe even square circles... but it is so much fun... it is only three tickets- can't we go round one more time. I will take the purple horse and you can take the invisible horse; now don't fall off; it is hard to hold on to that invisible horse. What! You don't believe in the invisible horse, but you can't disbelieve it. There is no proof it is not there. Just hop up and take a ride. It might be there, give it a try, riding an invisible horse can be a lot of fun. Just hop up there, there is nothing to lose.
What? You think there is something to lose- you might break your neck? Certainly not as much to lose as there is thinking there might be an invisible father guy in the sky. You might waste your entire life trying to test this worthless proposition, but it will only take you a few seconds to check out the idea of my invisible horse. Come on, let's go for a ride!
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, June 9, 2006 - 9:09 PMRene, believe it or not I agree with many of the points you're making. We both seem to understand knowledge as something that requires feedback from the environment, and are skeptical of any claim for which we cannot get adequate (or any) feedback from the environment. But I wonder about what you say about the burden of proof.
<"Positive claims logically bear the burden of proof, since there are an infinite number of false claims that one might make- the negative is assumed until the positive claim is demonstrated by logic or proven by evidence. Every positive claim has a negative claim opposing it, so trying to reframe the negation of a positive claim as a different positive claim is simply absurd and this is what you do when you assert that not believing the positive claim that God exists is in some way a positive claim bearing the burden of proof. Put simply- it isn’t.">
I have heard this said before, but only by atheists arguing with agnostics. I kid you not! I wanted to offer something above and beyond my own opinion so I looked in the 5 logic textbooks I own. I was a little surprised that 3 of them had no entry in the index for "burden of proof," or "proof, burden of" but then these are basically formal logic books, and the issue of burnen of proof never has a chance to arise in formal logic. Formal logic works like math - garbage in, garbage out. There is a clear standard--your computation either logically entails the conclusion by the rules of the formal system or it does not. Informal logic has much fuzzier rules and takes into account the pragmatics of argumentation, learning, and drawing conclusion with less than total information - the state of mixed knowledge and ignorance we normally find ourselves in. So there is some wiggle room here relating to values, and intelligent people can disagree on interpretations of the "laws of rationality" or whatever we want to call this enterprise.
Burden of Proof falls squarely under informal logic, so the 2 entries I found were in the 2 books that focused on informal logic. The first was the Damer that I quoted earlier and I'll repeat it so nobody has to go fish, Damer says
<"Another possible name for this fallacy is the "fallacy of shifting the burden of proof," because it violates a standard methodological principle that the burden of proof for any claim generally rests upon the person who sets forth the claim.">
He doesn’t say a positive claim or a negative claim, just a claim. From a logician's perspective this makes perfect sense. Modus Ponens goes:
If P then Q
P
Therefore Q
Modus Tollens goes:
If P then Q
Not Q
Therefore not P
In both cases the truth of the premises guarantees the truth of the conclusion. Whether the conclusion is a positive like Q or a negative like not P is irrelevant. Both are subject to the same laws of proof.
The other book I found that discusses burden of proof is “How To Think About Weird Things” by Schick and Vaughan. They say:
“It’s not only true believers who commit this fallacy of appeal to ignorance, however. Skeptics often take this approach: No one has proven that ESP exists, therefore it doesn’t. This, too, is fallacious reasoning; it’s an attempt to get something for nothing…So even if there is no good evidence for ESP, we can’t claim that it doesn’t exist. We can claim that there is no compelling reason for thinking that it does exist.”
This says plainly that a negative claim bears the burden of proof, just like a positive claim. And that unwillingness to assert a claim is not the same as asserting a negative claim (declining to assert P is not equivalent to asserting not P).
Here again I think the atheist and the agnostic can agree – both see no compelling reason to believe that God exists. This agreement opposes them to about 80-95% of all domesticated primates (depending on which study you read). I speculate that beyond this fundamentally important agreement, the difference between people who call themselves atheists and people who label themselves agnostics is largely a matter of what semantics appeal to a given person's temperment.
I don't exactly have an adequate statistical sample for this hunch, but I've noticed a pattern - people who I've talked to who label themselves as atheists seem to come from religious upbringings, whereas people who label themselves as agnostics seem to come from families where religion was absent or not taken all that seriouly. In my family religion was totally absent, I learned of its existence from having friends who were religious. I'd be curious whether other peoples' experience confirms or refutes this hypothesis. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, June 10, 2006 - 7:21 PM>>"people who I've talked to who label themselves as atheists seem to come from religious upbringings, whereas people who label themselves as agnostics seem to come from families where religion was absent or not taken all that seriously"<<
...many good points, as always, Geoff. I want to address the last one first and then address the "burden of proof" issue.
I think your "hunch" probably has some truth to it. And I would appear to be example of this- atheists tending to come from religious upbringings. However it is not quite accurate in my case, because for most of my post-Catholic life I probably would have said I was an agnostic, if anyone asked me. Basically, I never gave much thought to the issue of God because it seemed of no importance. It was really only the events of 9-11-2001 that made me revisit this issue. Those events made it plain that people actually take this God stuff seriously; seriously enough to die for. This is when I looked at all the questions and issues more seriously myself and concluded that there is no logical reason anyone should believe in God. Nothing about the idea makes any sense. If there is no valid evidence for a theory and nothing about it makes sense- the only thing that makes sense is to not believe the theory. There is no reason to think the theory might be true, no reason to keep it as one of many multiple working hypotheses to explain any observations of the world that I have made or will make. In other words, the theory can be completely dismissed from our thinking, unless some other data or observation lends the idea some credence or plausibility. This is what not believing means to me.
I fail to see how anyone can twist this into being a "claim"- negative, positive, or neutral. The claim is that God exists and is necessary to explain something about the universe (theist claim). Another claim is that God might exist and might explain something about the universe (agnostic claim). I don't believe either of these claims because there is no valid evidence or logical reason to suppose they might be true. Logically, the negative is assumed for any claim and the one making the claim bears the burden of proof. The idea of a “negative claim” does not even appear to me to meaningful. People do not have a crazy dream wake up and make the claim- I do not believe in left-handed, singing lice, they can’t exist. First, someone claims there are left-handed, singing lice and then those who hear the claim will usually respond that they do not believe the claim and give the idea no credence, unless some evidence for left-handed, singing lice is presented. Not believing in left-handed, singing lice is not a negative claim, just as not believing in an omnipotent creator is not a negative claim. No one is saying there cannot, under any imaginable circumstances be left-handed, singing lice, or omnipotent creators, only that that they are very improbable because they contradict all our experiences. Being improbable means we should not believe these propositions. They are not worthy of any consideration and we should not waste any time on them.
I am not making the "claim" that God cannot exist, only that there is no reason or evidence to suppose that he might and therefore we should not believe it. All I am saying is that there is no logical reason to think that God might exist. Being logically correct does not mean that something must be right, as we all must know; logic can fail. It fails most often when we lack good evidence to base our conclusions on. When we have more data and evidence, then we can do a better job and have a better chance of being correct. Without data there is literally no chance to come to meaningful conclusions or build models that correspond to any reality.
Although our reasoning and logic can fail us, it happens to be, in my estimation, the only tool we have to unravel the mystery that lies before us. If we do not rely on it, then there is no chance to unravel that mystery. So when I say there is no logical reason to believe some claim, to me that means that there is no reason to believe it. Knowing that reason is fallible, and there is much beyond our reach, this is not a claim that something or anything cannot be; only that we should not believe it, not give it any credence, not think it might be or that the idea is viable in any degree- unless there is valid evidence or reason to do so.
Now let us talk more about the burden of proof issue, using your ESP example. You say; "this says plainly that a negative claim bears the burden of proof, just like a positive claim." regarding whether ESP exists. If ESP did not exist, how would your "prove" it does not exist. You can't. For any non-existent thing there can never be any proof on its non-existence. Even if you tested for ESP every second of every day for every human that ever existed; this does not prove that ESP does not exist, only that you failed to observe it in all those seconds for all those people. They may have had the power and not expressed it. They may be about to express it at any moment. Your observations may have been faulty. You cannot prove it does not exist. This is true for all non-existent things. Therefore you can either say that we cannot make any "negative claims" or that asking for proof of a "negative claim" is absurd, because the negative can never be proven. If there were no evidence for ESP, if there were no phenomena we hoped to explain by this theory, then we should not believe the theory- this is not a negative claim- it does not say ESP cannot exist, only that it is improbable and therefore not worthy of consideration.
Actually, as far as ESP is concerned, there may be some evidence for its existence and some phenomena that this theory can explain better than others. Because of this I am agnostic about ESP- I am willing to say it might exist. The same cannot be said about the God theory in my estimation. It lacks all the characteristics of a useful and meaningful theory and can easily be dismissed as the ultimate expression of the human imagination. I can see three guys sitting around a campfire and asking themselves, “What is the biggest, craziest, most incredible thing you can imagine? Here would be their answer: an all-knowing, omnipotent entity that cares deeply about our well-being and created us and the universe out of nothing. There is no more reason to accept that this idea might correspond to some reality than if they asked themselves, “What is the scariest thing you can imagine?” and they came up with the idea of giant, seven-headed, tentacled, 10-armed, black dragons wear a suit of armor, breathing fire, and carrying 7000 poison-tipped spears. Neither idea has any real chance of corresponding to any reality and should be disbelieved.
Well, thanks for the ride on the “merry-go-round”. Who is ready for another round; round and round, up and down. I will be riding the purple horse with the yellow spots. You will be riding the invisible horse. Anthony was afraid. Geoff was brave, but he did not fall off- he did real well. It is only three tickets. Just one more time… Please…
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 11:14 AM>>"you like making audacious claims like "what reason demands""<<
Yes, because that is the essence of what we are arguing about. You say reason demands that we not make a judgement about propositions for which there is no evidence. My claim is no more audacious than yours. I say that if there is no evidence for a proposition it is not reasonable, in fact it is stupid, to give it any credence whatsoever.
If you are willing to admit that your position is not based on reason, but on a personal prejudice to not make judgements about "God" issues, then the arguement is over. I would never try to convince a theist that his personal prejudice that there is a God is wrong, only that there is no rational reason to believe it. Likewise, I would not try to convince an agnostic that their personal prejudice that God is possible and not improbable is wrong, only that there is no rational reason to believe this. Saying this I am not prnouncing that reason is infallible; that I must be right.
There is no doubt that reason is fallible; there might be a God. But, reason is the only tool we have to unravel the mystery before us, to abandon reason is to abandon all hope of unraveling that mystery. Our reason appears to me to be nothing more than a sophisticated computer program. Such a program cannot generate viable models without data. The quality of the input determines the quality of the output. If there is no input, then whatever model is output can only be gibberish- all it might reflect is some aspects of the original program. God is an output model for which there has been no data input. Without data no ouput model has any real chance of corresponding to reality. The only way a viable model could be ouput by our reason without any valid input data, is if our reason is something entirely different than a sophisticated computer program. Is this what you are arguing? If so, what evidence do you have that it is something entirely different and exactly what is the model you are employing? -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 12:49 PM"If you are willing to admit that your position is not based on reason"
I'm not in the habit of "admitting" false things. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, June 1, 2006 - 12:56 PM -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, June 6, 2006 - 8:29 AMI have seen the banana thing before. One would think it would have to be a joke, but the guys doing it are so smug about it, it is hard to believe they might be acting. I don't like bananas. One thought I had about the banana is if it is so perfectly designed by God for humans, why don't some of us even like bananas? Why did God design the banana for them and not for me? Another thought: that banana probably is the result of genetic manipulation by humans and not originally "designed" in that way at all. It is actually better evidence that organic forms are fluid and constantly changing under the pressures of the environment exactly as Darwin imagined, rather than evidence for "intelligent design".
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 12:33 PM>>"Declining to believe it makes you an agnostic at best."<<
I think you must have meant to say "at worst". So would you call your "declining to believe" semi-belief or semi-disbelief? Also, we know you have semi-belief/semi-disbelief about God. Does this apply to everything we might know or just God concepts? If only to God- why? If to all things, then you are a true agnostic- one with the inabilty to know anything. In this case, you could not even know that you don't know anything and we could deposit you in the hoplelessly agnostic category and begin to watch as the worms begin to grow out of your brain. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 2:29 PMNon-belief and non-disbelief. "Semi" implies a little. But I don't believe either claim (God exists or God doesn't exist) at all until I have reason to believe one or the other at all.
"Does this apply to everything we might know"
It applies to every claim. If there's no reason to accept a proposition as true, then I decline to believe it, but I don't disbelieve it.
"one with the inabilty to know anything"
Nonsense. There are plenty of things I have good reason to believe.
"hoplelessly agnostic category"
I think that's called a complete skeptic, but I'm not one of them. Again, there are plenty of things I think it's reasonable to believe. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 30, 2006 - 9:21 PM>>"Non-belief and non-disbelief. "Semi" implies a little."<<
Sorry, but you cannot legitimately claim non-belief. This is what I and most atheists have. What you have is the belief that it is possible there is a God even though there appears to be no valid evidence for this concept (This is certainly a "semi-belief in the concept.) What I have in non-belief that such a concept can be a viable model without observational evidence. Yes I know semi-belief/semi-disbelief sounds bad, but really agnostic sound worse to my ear. Semi-belief/semi-disbelief is the most accurate description of your position; keep saying the words over and over and maybe you will get used to them and they won't sound so bad anymore. Better yet, give up your semi-belief and recognize that no rational person accepts the possiblilty that far-fetched, ridiculous, absurd, extaordinary concepts such as God have a near zero probability of corresponding to any realtiy, unless there is some very strong evidence supporting their validity. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 30, 2006 - 9:30 PMAlso note: "non-disbelief" is a double negative which equals a positive, meaning, at least in English that you have a belief- which of course you true; you have a belief in the possiblilty that "God" is a viable concept. Now if you were a Russian speaker, the double negative is allowed and sometimes required for negative statements and is used to simply emphasize the negative; so we could translate something like this: absolute disbelief- if this is the proper translation congratulations, you have finally allowed reason to prevail over nonsense. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 12:38 AM"Also note: "non-disbelief" is a double negative which equals a positive, meaning, at least in English that you have a belief"
Incorrect. I'll try to get some time to address the rest of your posts, but "non-disbelief" just means that you don't have a disbelief. To disbelieve is to believe that something is not the case. If you have no beliefs one way or the other, then you have a non-disbelief. It's not really a double negative because "non" is not equivalent with "dis". What you're thinking of would be "non-nonbelief" which would equal a belief. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 6:32 AM>>"but "non-disbelief" just means that you don't have a disbelief."<<
Wrong. Disbelief means that you do not believe some claim. Non-belief means the same thing- you do not believe some claim. Two negative equal a positive in English, but even though you are not speaking English, we still understand what you are trying to say. It is just funny that you choose this word because you do not want to admit that what you have is semi-belief in God. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 10:15 AM"Wrong. Disbelief means that you do not believe some claim. Non-belief means the same thing"
If you're claiming that that's the only meaning, then you're wrong. That may be one meaning, but the other meaning for disbelief (and more common in my experience) is the following one identified by Merriam-Webster, and is the understanding I was employing:
": the act of disbelieving : mental rejection of something as untrue"
If to "disbelieve" a proposition meant the exact same thing as "not believe", then what word would describe believing that the proposition was false?
I know of no better word than "disbelieve".
"Two negative equal a positive in English"
Only if the negatives are equivalent, and "non" is not necessarily identical with "dis".
"you do not want to admit that what you have is semi-belief in God."
I don't "admit" it because it's false. I hold no belief in a god or gods. Is such a concept possible? I hold no belief in that as well, though I've seen no persuasive reasoning leading me to conclude that such a being either probably doesn't exist or that such a concept is impossible.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 11:12 AM"Sorry, but you cannot legitimately claim non-belief. This is what I and most atheists have"
Sure I can, since that's the definition of "agnostic", and accurately reflects my lacking of beliefs regarding God's purported existence..
"What you have is the belief that it is possible there is a God even though there appears to be no valid evidence for this concept"
I don't even know if the concept is possible. I just see no persuasive reason why it's possible or impossible, exists or doesn't exist. I have no existential beliefs on the subject.
"What I have in non-belief that such a concept can be a viable model without observational evidence."
That's a tortured way of getting around saying that you believe that the concept is impossible, or at least unlikely. So you do have a belief about God's existence. I in contrast don't.
"Yes I know semi-belief/semi-disbelief sounds bad, but really agnostic sound worse to my ear"
Nothing personal, but I frankly don't care how it sounds to your ear. I care about accuracy, and since I have zero belief in God's existence, I don't have semi-belief in God's existence.
"Better yet, give up your semi-belief and recognize that no rational person accepts the possiblilty that far-fetched, ridiculous, absurd, extaordinary concepts such as God have a near zero probability of corresponding to any realtiy"
Tiresome, self-satisfied, vacuous rhetoric Rene. Do you have some kind of emotional need to repeat comments like this, since it adds zero to the discussion? Seriously.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 12:54 PM>>"People reasonably believe plenty of things they can't empirically support. Moral values are an example. Political values are an example."<<
I disagree. People may have bad reasons for their political or moral choices, but they look to find sound empircal reasons or believe they are following someone who has sound empirical reasons for these choices. Likewise, most people do not consider that they are believing in God with no evidence, so they are not fools. They believe there is evidence. The problem is what they take to be valid evidence and their tendency to accept the ideas of those in authority without trying to examine the evidence for themselves. But if you know there is no valid evidence for something and chose to believe it, or fail to disbelieve it, then you are a fool because the only way we can determine the validity of any idea or concept is by examining the evidence and if you give the evidence or lack of it no importance, you could literally give credence to any crazy idea, which is not an effective way to learn and grow our knowledge. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 2:26 PMThey may believe that they have empirical evidence to prove that their moral values, but they're wrong. You can't empirically prove moral values to be correct, or even probably correct. You can't get past the fact/value gap. Emprical evidence supports a posteriori factual matters. But "what is" doesn't entail "what ought to be".
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 30, 2006 - 9:21 AM>>” Well, that's how science works, in the hope that some alleys explored are not so blind. Science doesn't learn about the universe by declaring "Well, none of my colleagues have provided any evidence about some proposition, so we can conclude that the proposition is probably false." They make judgements about the world by evaluating available evidence and doing experiments, not because their collagues have failed to offer evidence.”<<
You appear to be totally lost here. Scientists, as you said; “make judgements about the world by evaluating available evidence and doing experiments. Without any evidence, no one would be considering the idea because the probability that it might correspond to any reality would be remotely small and they would know that they would be wasting their time.
Good science begins with good observations and ends with theories that are able to explain those observations. Sometimes more deductive approaches are tried when current theories seem inadequate to explain some disparate set of data. String theory is an example of this. People have been using this deductive approach for 25 or 30 years now to try to come up with a model to explain the “particle zoo” of modern physics in a more fundamental way. Much interesting work has been done, but they are now at impasse because the math of string theory allows for many different solutions and only some observational data will allow them to choose which model or if any string model might be valid. This problem only helps to illustrate that without data it is impossible to build models that correspond to reality. Some had hoped that the math alone would provide a viable string theory; that there would be only one mathematically valid solution, but this was always forlorn hope; there will always be an infinite number of possible models and only observation can allow us to determine models that are valid.
>>”Well, some things can be known for 100% certainty. Deductive proofs can be so known. I know for 100% certainty that if Jones is male and all males are mortal, then Jones is mortal.”<<
When I said “nothing” can be known with 100% certainty I thought it obvious that I was referring to the models we use to explain the universe that we experience. I was not referring to 1+1=2, or logically consistent statements, such as your example, so you even bringing this up seems a bit silly. But since we are being silly; can you know with 100% certainty that Jones is male? Can you know that any entity is mortal? Not knowing either of these things with 100% certainty makes your statement that Jones is mortal highly uncertain.
>>”"where" implies spatial location. I don't know if a God existed it would exist in space. And it is possible to have other dimensions.”<<
You apparently have not thought very deeply about what it means to exist. I think if you do that you will discover that for existence to mean anything one must have a “where” a space to exist in. Additionally, I think existence to be meaningful must entail the concept of time, even if that time is stationary. Remember that space and time are simply concepts, just like existence. What I am saying is that the concept of existence is not meaningful without the concepts of space and time in which existence takes place.
So if there is an existing God, he must exist in some space and time. So now let us discuss space and time. How can we define space? It is simply where we exist. So how can we define the limits, if any, of our space? The limits can be defined as the area where interaction can occur between any objects or entities in the space. If no interaction can occur, then one meaningfully can be said to be existing in a separate space. If any interaction can occur then it is not meaningful to say two things exist in separate spaces. Therefore, via your definition of God, i.e. all-knowing, all powerful creator; he must exist in our space, since there is interaction inferred by your definition. Knowing requires interaction, being able to exert infinite power requires interaction, and creation requires interaction.
Let us talk now about this statement of yours: “You claim that God, if such existed, would leave "much" evidence but you've provided no reason why.” It seems obvious to me, but perhaps it isn’t to you that to know something about something, particularly to be “all-knowing”, you would have to observe your subject in some way. Any observation entails an interaction and any interaction should leave a trace. Also, if something is “all-powerful” is that not kind of like nuclear bombs going off all the time at a prodigious rate. Using such power should have massive, observable consequences. Even one man walking through a forest will have a ripple of consequences observable in all the animals living there, even if he fails to use his powerful rifle. Such consequences cannot be hidden. If there is an all-powerful God wandering the forest of Earth, even if he does not use his rifle he would be noticed. If he uses it, evidence would then become even more abundant. Now if he never uses it, why would we even consider that he might be all- powerful? Why give an attribute to some theoretical entity which apparently has no effect on this Earth?
Now let’s talk about this:
>>R:"Each and every observation that fails to uncover a given phenomena reduces the probability of that phenomena existing."
A:”Not quite. First of all, the above is only true with respect to phenomena that predict that you would detect it in the manner that you are trying to detect it”<<
Many faiths predict that we will detect God, if we simply pray to him. I have not been able to validate this prediction. Have you? Is this a valid observation? Perhaps you think my method of observation is faulty; perhaps I am prejudiced in my sampling. Perhaps this is true now, but certainly I was prejudiced in the other direction as I grew up attending Catholic school and praying at mass every morning. I failed to detect even the faintest whisper of God.
Additionally, the effects cited as evidence of God- apparent design in the universe, men having a sense of morals and ethics etc. don’t appear to be evidence in my estimation. You suggest that having no valid evidence is no reason to disbelieve a theory. In that case it would be quite impossible to evaluate any theory.
Going back to the second sun theory; I forgot to tell you the second sun does not produce heat and light; it has no mass. It is a sun that produces spiritual energy- it allows for consciousness to exist, without it conscious beings cannot come into existence. No other physical effects are related to it- it cannot be observed. Do you disbelieve in the second sun? If so, why- only because I proposed it perhaps; but it is just as good an idea as any idea of God and absence of evidence (according to you) is not evidence of absence? You should be agnostic about the second sun, even though it is an absurd, ridiculous, extraordinary idea that has almost zero probability of corresponding to reality, just like all God concepts.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 30, 2006 - 9:52 AM<"I forgot to tell you the second sun does not produce heat and light; it has no mass. It is a sun that produces spiritual energy- it allows for consciousness to exist, without it conscious beings cannot come into existence. No other physical effects are related to it- it cannot be observed.">
Hey, I like this! Nice example Rene.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 10:59 AM"You appear to be totally lost here."
This kind of rhetoric, which you frankly have a habit of Rene, comes off as smug and is completely unconstructive.
"Without any evidence, no one would be considering the idea because the probability that it might correspond to any reality would be remotely small and they would know that they would be wasting their time."
You have that backwards. You can't discover that there's no evidence for something until you look for it.
"Good science begins with good observations and ends with theories that are able to explain those observations...."
I agree with this paragraph, but I don't see how it contradicts me in any way.
"so you even bringing this up seems a bit silly"
Calling it "silly" is frankly childish. Ambiguity in language is the source of too many disputes in philosophy and elsewhere. We were talking about the existence of God. There have been attempts to produce deductive proofs both for and against the existence of God, and you can theoretically prove something to absolute certainty with a successful deductive proof, so this kind of proof is certainly relevant to the issue of the existence of a God. So when you said that "nothing" could be known to 100% certainty, in the context of this discussion, you were wrong. if you want to clarify what you meant, fine. But it's absurd and frankly philosophically ignorant to claim that it's "silly" to point out the possibility of absolute proofs regarding the existence of God.
"But since we are being silly; can you know with 100% certainty that Jones is male? Can you know that any entity is mortal? Not knowing either of these things with 100% certainty makes your statement that Jones is mortal highly uncertain."
This is a sloppy reading of what I wrote, but a common logical error. A valid inference doesn't say that the conclusion is 100% certain. It says that the inference is 100% certain. I didn't say that it's certain that Jones was mortal. I said that it's absolutely certain that IF all males were mortal and IF Jones was male, then Jones is mortal. That inference is certain, but of course it's not certain that the premises are true and hence the conclusion is.
"You apparently have not thought very deeply about what it means to exist."
Yes I have Mr. Pompous. Your arrogance is really starting to get irritating. I've studied philosophy for many years and I don't need to be talked down to like this, if you're at all interested in continuing a conversation. That you can't conceive of something existing outside of our spatio-temporal manifold is just a failure of your imagination, unless you can produce some deductive proof that existence requires spatial location.
"What I am saying is that the concept of existence is not meaningful without the concepts of space and time in which existence takes place."
Well, you may feel that way, but until you demonstrate that to be true, your hunches are not particularly useful.
"So if there is an existing God, he must exist in some space and time. "
Since you haven't demonstrated that to be true and are only assuming it, any argument that subsequently follows employing this as a premise is question begging.
"Any observation entails an interaction and any interaction should leave a trace."
I can see my treadmill right now. Do you think anyone can find evidence that at 10:35 I looked at my treadmill? Seeing or experiencing something does not necessarily entail that the seeing/experiencing is going to leave some telltale evidentiary trace.
"Also, if something is “all-powerful” is that not kind of like nuclear bombs going off all the time at a prodigious rate."
No. All-powerful just means you can do anything, not that you're in fact doing everything.
"Using such power should have massive, observable consequences."
Well, thesists do claim that God created the physical universe. If anything's an act of omnipotence, that is. But I don't know what kind of telltale evidence of a God that that should leave for us to find, since we have no experience of how other Gods (if any existed) behave in order to make comparisons. That's a big problem here. Since we're talking about an entity which is by most theist's conception unique, we have nothing to compare it to in order to make inferences about what to expect. We know the kinds of evidentiary traces that human creators leave when humans create. Would a God leave the same kind of traces? I have no idea, and I don't see how you do.
"he must exist in our space, since there is interaction inferred by your definition"
You've just assumed that to interact requires all interactors to occupy space, which begs the question.
"If there is an all-powerful God wandering the forest of Earth, even if he does not use his rifle he would be noticed."
You have an unnecessarily crude anthopomorphic view of what a god would be like if it existed. You seem to imagine some giant, clumsy, elephantine physical entity crashing through existence leaving loads of evidence. Who the hell knows what a God would be like if it existed? I dont' see any reason why it would necessarly stomp through existence leaving some crude evidentiary trail for all to see. Again, a point you have consistently ignored is that if it's omniscient and omnipotent, then it would be fully aware of any evidentiary trail itr left and fully capable of controlling what if any evidence it left. So for it to leave an evidentiary trail, it would have to want to. Why would it? I have no idea, and you don't either.
"Many faiths predict that we will detect God, if we simply pray to him."
That's true.
" I have not been able to validate this prediction. Have you?"
No.
"Is this a valid observation?"
I don't know, and I don't know how to invaidate the claim. Maybe people who think that they're experiencing God are, maybe they're not. I have no idea how to assess their claims, though i'm inclined to think that at least some of them are likely wrong, since different people seem to have contradictory experiences. But if a God was accessible through prayer, what kind of evidentiary trail would such a being leave? I have no idea, and neither do you.
"Perhaps this is true now, but certainly I was prejudiced in the other direction as I grew up attending Catholic school and praying at mass every morning. I failed to detect even the faintest whisper of God. "
Well, that could just mean that you failed to experience god. Your failure to experience something certainly doesn't entail that no one else experiences it.
"You suggest that having no valid evidence is no reason to disbelieve a theory. In that case it would be quite impossible to evaluate any theory."
Absolutely wrong. You evaluate a theory based upon disconfirming and confirming evidence, not by lack of evidence.
"Going back to the second sun theory; I forgot to tell you the second sun does not produce heat and light; it has no mass. It is a sun that produces spiritual energy"
I would say then that you're using the word "sun" wrong then, since a sun by definition produces heat, light, and has mass. If you're claiming that there exists some spiritual phenomenon, then i would ask why you believe it to be true? If you have no persuasive evidence, then I would not be inclined to believe it. Since I also would have little idea what you're talking about, I would also be in a poor position to assert that what you're claiming is false, particularly because I have no reason to believe whatever you're precisely claiming is false.
"has almost zero probability of corresponding to reality, just like all God concepts."
Well, that last clause is just rhetoric, as you've provided no convincing reason to believe it. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 3:58 PM>>"Since I also would have little idea what you're talking about, I would also be in a poor position to assert that what you're claiming is false, particularly because I have no reason to believe whatever you're precisely claiming is false. <<"
I think you are saying that you do not disbelieve in my spiritual "second sun". You have proven yourself a true agnostic. Congratulations, now the second sun will fill you with its divine energy, since you have not denied it. Unimaginable spiritual energy will begin to fill you with life, bringing a fearsome glow to your world. Do you semi_believe this? Or should I speak your language and say do you non-disbelieve this? Exactly how deep does your non-disbelief go? What are you willing to disbelieve? -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, May 31, 2006 - 5:46 PMI'm willing to disbelieve things that I have evidence are false. You're "spiritual sun" sounds like many versions of God or the spiritual, and given that I'm an agnostic, I have no idea whether they're real or not.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, May 25, 2006 - 10:46 PMAnthony, your way of using the term “evidence” makes sense to me, and I don’t find any problem with it, or with your conclusion that within this conceptual economy, we can never infer anything from a lack of evidence. That seems reasonable enough to me.
At the same time, I still don’t see how my view of treating evidence something like “processed sense data confirming a hypothesis” leads to any sort of incoherence.
<”If you're reporting your experiences, you're reporting actual evidence, not lack of evidence, even if it's a report of failure to see something.”>
This does not seem to apply well to cases like the extraterrestrial example. Experts may report their experiences of looking through telescopes, etc. and still say “we have no evidence yet,” though in this case people, including “the experts” typically think that having no evidence does not refute the hypothesis.
<”If a doctor says that if you have X disease, then we should see Y come up on test Z. If he then fails to see Y come up on Z test, that's not an absence of evidence. That disconfirming event is positive evidence against disease X, since it's falsifying evidence.”>
I think this example works well for your concept of evidence, but I don’t think it rules out mine. Think of it this way: Y fails to come up on test Z, so we have no evidence of the presence of the disease in a case where we think we really ought to have evidence if the disease had infected the person. This absence of evidence constitutes a “reason” for thinking the test subject does not have the disease. So I don’t treat “evidence” and “a reason” as synonymous. I think of evidence as a relatively narrow concept and “a reason” as a fairly broad concept. In this semantic grid, if a hypothesis predicts evidence under certain conditions and no evidence gets observed, then we have a reason to think we have a defective hypothesis. So I still think our disagreement revolves around semantics.
Going back to anthropomorphizing and thinking of God as a model generated by a nervous system-
<”That human beings tend to do what you subsequently describe doesn't count as evidence in a particular case that human beings are doing that. For one thing, that we tend to do that may be inculcated in our design by a God.>”
Okay, I can appreciate the abstract possibility that God has designed the world so that we anthropomorphize lots of things, including Him. If we use something like “absolute 100% certainty” as our gold standard, we can probably never disprove this. Similarly, we can never absolutely disprove the hypothesis that the universe got created 5 minutes ago, with memories implanted into all sentient beings. Or the hypothesis that Satan created the world and the Christian religion began as a propaganda campaign by YHVH and his angels to brainwash mankind. Or the possibility that our brains sit in a cosmic vat being fed sense data by a super computer. The sentential true/false logic game leads to many stalemates because we can always imagine ways that our perception can get tricked. The universe doesn’t usually find it difficult to trick a 3lb slab of electric meat.
But we don’t have to play by these game rules. Replace this medieval language game with one based on modern brain software like cognitive science, AI, neuroscience, psychology, anthropology, etc., and now we have a new take on an old problem. If we start with the idea of a nervous system making models (theories, conceptual schemas, pick your favorite metaphor) of its experience, then we can ask what kinds of cognition the brain does well at, how it draws conclusions from ambiguous data, what kinds of tasks it routinely fails at, and what biases lurk in the software. We can tell quite a bit by modeling parallel processors (neural nets). These models make many things plain as day, for example why the brain naturally does well at recognizing the same face at different angles but performs heinously at long arithmatic, and why we have trouble adapting to new anomalous data once we have formed a set of prototypes to understand our experience. In this game, like in science, we may not find absolute 100% certainties, but we may get a better sense of how much trust to put in our ideas.
Trends in the cross-cultural history of human thought suggest to me that that humans tend to anthropomorphize that which we don’t understand. We can think of this as a bias in the way we model the world. Several scientific disciplines began with supernatural anthropomorphic models to explain our experience (gods controlling the weather, planets being pushed by angels), but over time the anthropomorphic parts got taken out because they added nothing to the predictive power of the theory. So when we make a supernatural anthropomorphic model to understand our experience, we need to bear in mind that these models have an abysmal track record in the history of ideas and probably reflect a quirk in the brain’s software rather than the nature of the outside world – especially if the model has no (or few) points of contact with the outside world and therefore cannot be improved by systematic observation and experimentation. We agree (but Rene doesn’t) that God models do not necessarily have clear points of contact with the world of observation. But this should make us even more critical of them because we know from our historical track record that we build miserably inadequate models when we do not have the means to test them by systematic experimentation. Without this process we could not have gotten from phrenology to modern neuroscience. Theology has spun wild ideas, squared circles, and played some interesting language games, but has not found a way to enter a theory/observation feedback loop with the environment and improve its models. Consequently I see little reason to think it amounts to anything more than the old familiar anthropomorphic bias built into our brain software.
As I mentioned in my last post, I don’t consider this a definitive “proof” of the non-existence of God, but I think it casts grave doubt on the value of the God model. And I sometimes wonder if the desire for absolute irrefutable 100% certainty in matters of the outside world amounts to a hangover from medieval thinking. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, May 25, 2006 - 10:48 PMSorry for the ridiculously long post. I'm can never tell if I'm overexplaining or underexplaining things. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, May 25, 2006 - 11:06 PMWow. It's going to be some time when I can take the time to go through all that in detail.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, May 27, 2006 - 9:40 AMI thought your post was perfect and pretty much agree with most of what you said. Thanks for the stimulating ideas.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, May 23, 2006 - 5:16 PM"Absence of evidence is evidence of absence- it is simply not definitive."
No it's not. You can't make inductive judgments from an absence of evidence. You have to have evidence with which to make judgments.
"Each and every observation that fails to uncover a given phenomena reduces the probability of that phenomena existing."
Not quite. First of all, the above is only true with respect to phenomena that predict that you would detect it in the manner that you are trying to detect it. Every time I look into the sky, or my room, or anywhere on earth, I do not see oxygen, yet that doesn't mean that every time I fail to see oxygen reduces the probability of oxygen existing, since oxygen isn't visible. Not seeing oxygen would only be disconfirming evidence of the existence of oxygen if the existence of oxygen entailed the prediction that i would see it if I looked. But it doesn't, because the nature of oxygen is such as to be invisible if it existed.
Second, observations that are used to disconfirm the existence of something looked for do not constitute "absence of evidence." That is positive evidence. If your hypothesis predicts that you will see something if you look, you then look and don't see what was predicted, then that is positive evidence disconfirming the hypothesis. It's not "absence of evidence." Once you start looking for evidence to confirm or falsify a hypothesis that predicts that you would discover something (e.g. see the elephant) if your hypothesis is true, you're collecting evidence. That's the opposite of "absence of evidence."
"They seem to refer to an entity intimately involved in their lives, concerned with their well being- a loving creator, who will take them into his bosom when they die. It seems to me, based on this description there ought to be elephant/God footprints and elephant/God excrement all over our little garage."
That doesn't follow, since the hypothesis "There is a being that loves me and will have a relationship with me after I die" doesn't entail, inductively or deductively, that such a being would leave footprints, particularly when the being is considered to be radically different than any physical being we come across, particularly since the hypothesized God is purported to be the ultimate creator of physical things.
I simply don't see any reason for your assumption here about what kind of evidence such a God would be expected to leave. In fact, since the proposed God is omniscient and omnipotent, then such a being would be completely aware of what kind of self-indicating evidence he/she/it leaves, and would have the complete power (presumably) to control whether he/she/it leaves any evidence or not. Hence, the only way I can imagine such a being leaving any evidence at all is if he/she/it intended to do so, and I see no reason to assume or believe that such a being would likely intentionally leave the kind of evidence you would like to discover.
"Well maybe there is, but in that case, what difference would it make to anyone?"
It would make a load of difference if it existed and controlled our eternal destiny.
"Now if I had never been to Africa, never heard of or seen an elephant and I started imaging the beasts that might live in Africa, what would be the odds that I could imagine this beast accurately without any data or information?"
Now, if the elephant was sentient, omniscient and omnipotent and wanted you to have information about him/her/it, then the chances of you having the information that such an elephant would want you to have would be 100%.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, April 20, 2006 - 12:11 PM>>”And once again the lack of evidence for extraterrestrial intelligent life elsewhere in the universe does not logically entail that the existence of such beings is impossible.”<<
I wanted to discuss this idea separately because although it deals with the same theme, there are some additional interesting aspects to it that I would like to discuss.
First, although you claim to fully comprehend the difference between impossible and improbable, you use to two interchangeably and inaccurately as in your above statement. I don’t believe anyone would ever say that extraterrestrial intelligent life is *impossible* only that it is improbable. I would not be one of those people. I would say that extraterrestrial intelligent life is highly probable. This is based on the data at hand. We have closely examined one star system and found intelligent life (assuming of course humans can be considered “intelligent”). Based on our one data point, the probability of the next world we examine having intelligent life would be 100%. However our degree of confidence in this estimate would be very low. It would take many more samples to get our level of confidence above 90%, probably more than 100, but less than 1000. Now if we examined two star systems and found intelligent life on only one, the probability of finding intelligent life, based on the data, would be 50% for the next star system we examine. So what would the probability be if we had no data- intelligent life had never been observed anywhere. Based on your many earlier statements you would say, we could make no estimate of the probability, but this is not true. Intelligent life, as an entirely new idea or theory, unsupported by any data would have a near zero chance of being a real phenomena.
The truth of this can be demonstrated by the following example: Let us program a computer to design 3-dimensional objects. First, let us give it all the geometric forms and some fractal algorithms and let it try to “imagine” some real object. What would be the odds it could produce anything resembling a real object, other that the perfect geometric forms we gave it. I would estimate the odds would be so small as to approach zero. Now if we fed it more data; more possible forms, the chances of it reproducing some real object would increase. In other words, the probability of a model being accurate is directly related to how much data is available. Let us take away, the geometric forms and the fractal algorithms- could the program ever reproduce something resembling a real object. I think the probability is so low as to approach zero. This is exactly what we are doing when we try to imagine a God. With no data, the probability of imagining a model that resembles any reality is extremely low- not impossible, but not possible for all practical purposes. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, April 20, 2006 - 12:29 PM"First, although you claim to fully comprehend the difference between impossible and improbable, you use to two interchangeably and inaccurately as in your above statement."
I don't recall ever using the terms "improbable" and "impossible" interchangeably, and I certainly didn't in that statement of mine that you quoted. That statement was in specific reaction to this statement of yours:
"The agnostic believes in the possibility of God despite the lack of evidence."
The above appears to make the erroneous inference that lack of evidence of God entail the impossibility of God, which looked like you were confusing "unsupported" with "impossible". My point was that if the lack of evidence for God entailed that God was impossible, then the lack of evidence for intelligent exterrestrial life entails that intelligent exterrestrial life was not possible. But that would be a fallacious inference, and hence my point.
"Based on our one data point, the probability of the next world we examine having intelligent life would be 100%. "
That's not a legitimate inference, since we know that there are an estimated 70 sextillion stars in the universe, so it would be irrational to conclude that since our experience of one in 70 sextillion star systems having intelligent life, then it's 100% probable that the next star system we examine has intelligent life. That's like finding one grain of sand which we discover is magnetite and thus concluding that we have 100% confidence that any other particular grain of sand we pick up on the planet will be magnetite. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, April 20, 2006 - 3:23 PM>>"That's like finding one grain of sand which we discover is magnetite and thus concluding that we have 100% confidence that any other particular grain of sand we pick up on the planet will be magnetite."<<
No, the probablility based on your 1 sample would be 100%. This is simply mathematics. However the degree of confidence would be very low since you do not have a statistically significant sample. You would need more than 100 samples and perhaps as many as a thousand samples to raise the condfidence level above 90%. So if you picked up 1000 grains of sand and they were all magnetite, you could say with a high degree of confidence the sand was all magnetite, at least in that area. 1000 grains would not be statistically significant if you were considering the entire planet and all the sand; perhaps millions or even billions of grains would be required.
But what all of this points out is that without data the probablity of an accurate assessment of anything is very low. The more data you have, the more accurate your model can be. With no data or one data point you have concluded my assessment of intelligent life beyond earth is probabliy inaccurrate. This is the correct conclusion and the same conclusion you should apply to all God theories, as they similarly lack data.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Tue, April 18, 2006 - 6:09 PM"I think the fear factor is actually more appropriately applied to most agnostics. It is the fear of making a decision."
No, I made a decision. I decided that there is insufficient evidence to believe one way or another. Having the "courage" to decide to believe something about which you do not have sufficient reason nor evidence to believe is precisely what's wrong with the religionists, and the same applies to atheists who take the leap to believe something that they have no evidentiary justification to believe.
"If you walk into a classroom and all the children in the room are wearing glasses, would you be willing to say; "all these kids seem to be wearing glasses"
That's not a good analogy since I can see most places in the classroom, so I can legitimately make a probabilistic judgment. In contrast, I can't see everywherenor even most places in the universe, and even in the places I can look, I have no reason to believe that evolution has conveniently endowed me with abilities to see everything that exists. There could be dimensions I don't know about or can't reliably access, physical processes beyond my senses, or whatever.
"but simply frustration with someone who does not know how to make up his mind."
I made up my mind. I just made up my mind as to what conclusion is justified by the evidence. I have no interest in taking a leap of faith one way or the other.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, October 20, 2005 - 8:58 PMI didn’t mention this in my initial post, but throughout the course of my life I’ve gone back and fourth between atheism and agnosticism, and I’ll probably do that some more. Right now I’m in an agnostic phase. For me, the line is pretty blurry.
The way I see it, there are (at least) 2 types of people who call themselves atheists. The first group, which I think/hope most of the people on here belong to, are the ones who say things like “I have no belief in God”, or “there is no convincing evidence of God’s existence”. The second group who apparently see intellectual modesty as a vice, will proclaim that they are absolutely certain that God does not exist, and anyone who thinks otherwise is either brainwashed, afraid of the truth, out to exploit people for money, or just plain stupid. (I would mention that the very existence of people this moronic and conceited could be used as an argument against intelligent design, but then I’d be violating my own maxim of not doing armchair psychology on groups I don’t like.)
Anyway, some atheists have tried to sort these folks out by calling the former “weak/soft atheists” and the latter “strong/hard atheists”. This didn’t really catch on, because who the hell wants to go around calling themselves a “weak atheist”? (And they’ve finally given up calling themselves “Brights”—maybe there is a god!) And to complicate things further, weak atheism slides naturally into agnosticism. Two individuals could share the same set of beliefs about the likelihood of God’s existence, but one might label themselves as a weak atheist, and the other an agnostic. And agnostics come in more than one flavor as well. Some lean more toward atheism (like me) and others more toward theism. To complicate things more, you can be more agnostic about some gods than others. When it comes to gods like Zeus, Vishnu, Marduk, Jehova, Allah, etc., I think we would have to be so massively wrong about so many things for them to actually exist, that I believe we can safely rule them out of the equation. But a creator god in the deist sense (or unknown “cosmic force”, or pick your favorite abstract metaphor for something we could not possibly understand in our current state of knowledge) does not seem totally ridiculous to me. We best keep in mind that Occam’s weapon of choice is a razor, not a broadsword of smiting +2. And when we try to attach the broad labels of “atheist” and “agnostic” to cover all this fine-grained nuance of belief, we’re playing a game of “pin the tail on the continuum” on a slippery slope, paved with ice, greased with Astroglide.
And one can also interpret agnosticism in a broader philosophical sense. I don’t know what other peoples’ philosophical backgrounds are, but this “orientation” is sometimes labeled as skepticism, anti-realism, model agnosticism, constructive empiricism, falliblism, and other “isms” as well. The goddess wears many masks. Usually the issue turns on ones intuitions (ugh) about what we ought to believe about unobservable entities and theoretical models. We have never seen an electron, a gene, a quark, or natural selection at the phylogenetic level, but these concepts are extremely useful in explaining, predicting, and controlling what we can see. (Look over there while I sweep these anomalies under the rug.) But in what sense, if any, are they “really real”? Would that mean that these models have reached completion and can no longer be improved upon? That no flaws will ever be found in them? But I’m getting off on a gargantuan tangent here. Philosophers still make very comfortable livings arguing over this question, so I’m not going to pretend I can solve it this evening on tribe.net.
And I still haven’t gotten around to Rene and Jon’s arguments about how the belief in god is as arbitrary as belief in fairies and I have my own take on that, but this is turning into a goddam treatise and I’m curious what the other agnostics have to say, so I’ll rant on that later. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 6:57 AMGeoff,
All your points are well taken. Personally, I do not think I have ever met anyone who you would term a "hard" atheist. But then I grew up attending Catholic schools and ended up in Midland, Texas where it is unlikely you will ever even encounter someone claimly to be agnostic. This is the place George Bush calls his home town and Democrats don't even put up candidates for many elected positions.
I have not wavered back and forth on this issue. Most of my life, I would just have said that I am agnostic and the issue of God does not really concern me very much. Recently, with the tentacles of a theocratic state being slowly unleashed upon the unsuspecting masses and crazy people flying airplanes into buildings in the name of God, I started thinking about the issue of God a little more and decided it is basically a crazy idea with no merit. A neutral position on the issue seems less effective in dealing with this madness than a strong stand attacking and destroying all the premises upon which religious belief in God is based. I am therefore proud to say I am an atheist, but a better term would be realist, because it makes no sense to define yourself with a negative. That is why people started using "brights" which I find too self-congratulatoy and definitely annoying just like you. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 12:36 PMYour comments about religious zeal remind me of the recent Bad Religion song "Atheist Peace". Good song.
You all might find this interesting if you haven't seen it. Wikipedia's list of celebrity atheists and agnostics: www.celebatheists.com/w/index.php
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 7:15 AMAgain,
Agnostic "non-commital", & Atheist to be "a lack of belief".
Agnostic -
dictionary.reference.com/search
"One who is doubtful or noncommittal about something."
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Atheism -
dictionary.reference.com/search
"a lack of belief in the existence of God or gods"
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"Deist" -
1) "The belief, based solely on reason, in a God who created the universe and then abandoned it, assuming no control over life, exerting no influence on natural phenomena, and giving no supernatural revelation."
2) "a person who believes that God created the universe and then abandoned it."
dictionary.reference.com/search
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I don't accept strong atheism as a proper definition for atheist since it requires "a belief" when clearly Atheism is a "lack of belief". Seems to me, like the weak/strong thing is an attempt at some kind of political correctness. Those that adhere to "strong atheism" should find a new word to define their position. I'm atheist, especially when it comes to what I call "book religion".
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 1:30 PMThe key here is the word "belief". The religious world view hinges on a belief that something *does* exist, and the atheist world view hinges on the belief that something *doesn't* exist. Both are "believers" not that distinct from one another.
That's why the agnostic path is the only true path. It is ok to say "I don't know" when there is, in fact, no way of establishing the truth of the matter. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 1:50 PMTo clarify... I am referring to "strong" atheism. But I see that OED defines atheism as a "disbelief in the existence of a god or gods.". And disbelieve as "unable to believe", which seems common to agnosticism. Interstingly, the OED defines agnostic as a person "who believes that nothing is known or can be known of the existence or nature of God.".
These definitions leave a bit to be desired... I guess some clarity on the definitions need to be gained before I would chose a camp. I guess my point though is, if we have to rely on belief in our world view then we're on shaky ground... empiricism and reason are much better tools. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 2:50 PMso you can we see why I suggest that "strong atheists" find their own word to define their position for their "belief" then yeah?
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 2:54 PM>>"The key here is the word "belief". The religious world view hinges on a belief that something *does* exist, and the atheist world view hinges on the belief that something *doesn't* exist."
This statement goes back to the key issue that I brought up earlier which no one has really responded to. Saying an atheist world view hinges on the belief that God does not exist is exactly the same as saying the world view of most adults hinges on the belief that Santa Claus does not exist. Substitute any of an infinite number of things that we can imagine for Santa Claus or God and you will see that everyone's world view hinges on the belief that certain things are unlikely to exist, including all those proclaiming that they are following the "true path" of agnosticism.
All of the things that we can imagine to exist, that are unlikely to exist cannot be proven to be non-existnent in the same way that God cannot be proven to be non-existent. It is not possible to "prove" that anything is non-existent. Therefore the idea that you cannot prove God's non-existence is not pertinent in any way to the argument about whether you should proclaim "I do not believe in God" and say you are an atheist or whether you procalim yourself agnostic.
An atheist world view does not hinge on anything other than accepting what is real, tangible, or observable in some way as a piece in the puzzle of the meaning of existence. We can imagine an infinity of other possibilities, all of which are interesting, but not useful in solving the riddle unless there is some way to verify, cross check, and validate the ideas. If you choose to rely on other kinds of ideas, on the infinity of things we can imagine, but not verify, it is quite impossible to even begin to solve the riddle.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Fri, October 21, 2005 - 8:54 PMWell said, Rene. Do you write books about atheism?
I totally agree that the atheist is not required to prove the non-existence of god. Though, in some cases, I think he can! We can't "prove" that bigoot doesn't exist, but we can prove the non-existence of four sided triangles, because the the concept is logically incoherent. It seems that if we can define God clearly enough (as most theists are perfectly happy to do) we can make an argument that his supposed atributes are inconsistent with the kind of world we take ourselves to be living in. I'm thinking of the anti-christian argument from the existence of "evil". If God is all knowing and all powerfull and and all good (how the hell did they get this idea out of the Bible?), then why does bad shit happen to good people? It seems that God is perfectly content to see people massacred in earthquakes, hurricanes, holocausts, wars, famine, etc. since he doesn't lift a divine finger to prevent these atrocities of human suffering. They are ended by the hard work of men (oh yeah, and women) and then superstitious folks call them "miracles". The limp christian "free will" response cuts no ice here because tsunamis are not the product of anyone's freewill.
Regardless of how many passages from the Bible one has to forget to belive that this "theologian's God" is the Christian God, it seems to me that this concept of god leads logically to a world very different from ours. Or if you dig modal logic, this god exists in a possible world, but not in *our world*. We can further note that most nervous systems that attach themselves to this meme are indoctrinated in it from youth. Most young minds have the neural plasticity to adjust to any reality tunnel that they find themselves emersed in. Others become attracted to it in a survival chrisis situation, like severe drug abuse, etc which is a state when the brain will cling to anything that seems to help, especially a stable social network. And what's more, nearly every great advancement in the empirical sciences has been opposed by this authoritarian mind control conspiracy, often with brute force, violence, and righteous anger at the unbeliever. It wasn't a random historical accident that Giordano Bruno was burnt at the stake for being an outspoken Copernican and mystic. They knew the dangers of freethought and were scared that it might lead to a world like ours. They believe in free will, so long as it isn't used to threaten thier power. This is the knock-out paradigm case of what Lakatos would call a "degenerating research program". It has contributed nil to our empirical understanding of the world. It is forever stuck in the cycle of denying data, persecuting those who present new data, rationalizing away data, and eventually reinterpreting it's own central tenents to accomidate data that can no longer be denied if one wishes to avoid sounding ridiculous.
But again I'm doing armchair psycology on groups I disagree with...So officially I didn't say any of that. I hereby repent my sins.
p.s.
Do you ever stop to consider the fact that there are 21st century Americans that sincerely thank Jesus after "their" baseball team wins?
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Mon, October 24, 2005 - 8:52 PMI agree with you completely and your argument is well spoken. Personally, I have clung to the label "agnostic" more out of the desire to be hair-splittingly precise than anything. (The word tetrapyloctomy comes to mind for some reason). To me the the term agnostic is synonymous with the "I don't know" answer to the question of existence or non-existence of God. But I am quick to follow it with "but neither do you". And then almost as quick with "...but if I were a betting man..." and of course the bet would involve odds similar to those of the existence of purple bunnies speaking French, Santa Claus, etc.
This, of course, puts me squarely in the "soft" atheist camp I suppose, and that's fine with me as long as our definitions are clear.
Labels aside, this argument seems to wrap up pretty squarely (when I'm talking to myself anyway), and the discussion turns to the question of "what *do* I believe in", since I've already outlined what I don't believe in. The answer to this is "not much", but I do feel drawn to various philosophers and the secular humanist camp. Is this the same for you all too? Pray tell!
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Sat, October 29, 2005 - 3:25 AMI've had a friend try to pigeon-hole my agnosticism by saying that I was an Athiestic-Agnostic. Meaning that I was more athiest than theist. I just laughed.
I truly sit in the middle, no matter how much this frustrates people. I've always looked at it like this:
Men/women are imperfect. It says so in the bible and Scientist state that men/women are incapable of using the entirety of their brains. Memory is fallible and so is reasoning. Science isn't even exact. Therefore, men/women are imperfect.
So for either to say with unerring accuracy that they are right seems ludicrous to me. I can't trust either source regardless of how right they THINK they are. I won't even get into the argument of 'concept'. The thing that really pisses me off about religion is the fallacious 'appeal to fear'. If you don't fear God or try to accept him in your life ... 'insert consequence here'. I think that's the biggest bullshit way to try to convince anyone of anything.
If the Christians are wrong and the Athiests are right ... I haven't wasted any time. It's all over ... when it's all over.
If the Athiests are wrong and the Christians are right ... and God is a loving and forgiving God ... I imagine God will look at all of the other morons and excuse my neutrality ... perhaps even commend it.
I haven't overlooked that Hindu's, Buddhists, Taoists, Islamists, or any other number of religions may be right too ... I just don't see any point in weeding through them all when according to their own teaching, I can never truly understand their God ... you know, being imperfect and all. That's assuming their God exists ...
Either way ... I see no problems.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Thu, April 20, 2006 - 11:28 PM"purple bunnies speaking French"
Given that we know that bunnies don't have the cognitive or vocal capacities for language at all, much less learning a human language, the probability of a bunny speaking French are very small. But I don't know how we can compare that to the proposed existence of something (God) that belongs to a class (supernatural, creative, sentient entities) about which we have zero background knowledge.
Similar point can be made about Santa Claus, particularly since there have been plenty of eye witneses at the North Pole who have not seen a fat jolly guy living there, not to mention the other physics stretching things he is allegedly capable of doing.
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Wed, April 19, 2006 - 12:23 PM"An atheist world view does not hinge on anything other than accepting what is real, tangible, or observable in some way as a piece in the puzzle of the meaning of existence."
That's not true. For a world view to be an atheist world view would just require that the world view either not have a belief in the existence of any god or else affirmatively believe in the nonexistence of a god or gods. An atheist world view doesn't require only accepting as real things that are tangible, etc. There are atheist world views that believe in the mystical and the supernatural, just not God. Marxism is an atheist world view that believes in some things that aren't observable (such as certain inevitable forces of history and certain values).
As for the Santa analogy, there's very good empircal reason to believe that there is no guy who lives on the North Pole who's capable of flying to every Christan's (or Christmas observing) child's home on the planet in one evening, propelled by reindeer that are not aerodynamically capable of flying, and sneak down a chimney no matter how narrow or whether one exists or not.
Can't say the same thing about a proposed "god".
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Mon, November 7, 2005 - 12:00 AMSince many "strong" atheists are very zealous in their quest to debunk theistic and metaphysical concepts, I would put forward a more suitable definition than that provided by the dictionary you cited. Namely, atheism is
"a belief in the non-existence of God or gods."
Notice the subtle semantic shift. The definition quoted from the dictionary suggests atheism is passive (and, arguably, non-committal). My definition is based on the observation that many atheists, especially in the scientific community, have adopted atheism as an active and firmly grounded belief system. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Mon, November 7, 2005 - 6:55 AM>>“atheism is a belief in the non-existence of God or gods."<<
Frankly put: this is a stupid definition. Not accepting the existence of someone’s imaginary fantasy can never be considered belief. If someone claimed that there are three-headed pink frogs running around in his basement, would you say that you have a belief in the non-existence of these frogs? No, you would say: I have never seen any three-headed pink frogs. I do not know anyone who has. From what I know about the natural world, three-headed pink frogs seem absurd and unlikely to exist, therefore I cannot accept that what you are telling me is true. This is exactly the same thing an atheist would say about gods. In no way can this be considered belief. -
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Re: Why does agnosticism piss off atheists?
Mon, November 7, 2005 - 4:28 PMI'm not sure why you feel you have to frame your arguments in pissy, mocking language, but okay.
What I have put forward is far from being a stupid definition. Atheism is a belief system that rejects the concept of God. "Not accepting the existence of someone’s imaginary fantasy can never be considered belief." It sure the hell is when it becomes a philosophy that is advocated by people. It is an ideology or dogma like Marxism, Catholicism, Islam, any other, and many atheists are just as zealous and narrow-minded in their aggressive pursuit of spreading atheistic concepts.
When one makes the declaration, "I am an atheist," one is stating belief in a philosophical concept.
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